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Over 10 logged NFL games, Garrett Wilson has gone over 5.5 receptions 6 times (60%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 5.7 receptions across those 10 games. Their last 5 average 4.8, 16% below their 5.7 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from New York Jets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 10 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 receptions | 9 of 10 (90%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 receptions | 7 of 10 (70%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 6 of 10 (60%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 6.5 receptions | 3 of 10 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 7.5 receptions | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Garrett Wilson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Garrett Wilson has averaged 4.8 receptions over their last 5, 16% below their 5.7 across all 10 logged games.
Garrett Wilson's receptions varies moderately, a standard deviation of 2.9 around 5.7. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4.8 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 5.7 receptions |
| All 10 logged games | 5.7 receptions |
| Best in the log | 10 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (5 games) | 5.0 receptions |
| Away (5 games) | 6.4 receptions |
Garrett Wilson's highest in this log is 10 receptions against the Detroit Lions on 2026-09-27, and the lowest is 0 against the Cleveland Browns on 2025-11-09. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 5.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| On the road | 4 of 5 (80%) |
Garrett Wilson has cleared 5.5 receptions 40 points more often on the road, 40% in 5 home games against 80% in 5 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions | Away | 10 |
| 2026-09-20 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 5 |
| 2026-09-13 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Denver Broncos | Home | 3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 6 |
| 2025-09-29 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Away | 10 |
| 2025-09-14 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 4 |
| 2025-09-07 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | 7 |
Every receptions prop the books have posted for Garrett Wilson of the New York Jets, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Garrett Wilson props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.