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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs has gone over the posted 90.5 rushing yards 8 times (40%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 87.3 rushing yards across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 108.0, 24% above their 87.3 over their last 20 games. These are measured box-score results from Detroit Lions games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 9:30 AM ET, at home against the New England Patriots. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | 20 | 17.5 carries | Over 16.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) |
| Rushing Yards | 20 | 87.3 rushing yards | Over 68.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Receptions | 20 | 4.5 receptions | Over 3.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | Over 13.5 | 15 of 20 (75%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 16.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 19.5 | 7 of 20 (35%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 43.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 68.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 116.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 16 of 20 (80%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 11 of 20 (55%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 5.5 | 5 of 20 (25%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Every market Jahmyr Gibbs is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts | Rushing Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 20 | 74 | 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 23 | 153 | 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 29 | 116 | 5 |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 25 | 151 | 5 |
| 2026-10-04 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 15 | 46 | 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Jets | Home | 20 | 99 | 7 |
| 2026-09-17 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 16 | 52 | 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | New Orleans Saints | Home | 29 | 156 | 5 |
| 2026-01-04 | Chicago Bears | Away | 19 | 80 | 3 |
| 2025-12-25 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 17 | 41 | 2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 13 | 38 | 4 |
| 2025-12-04 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 12 | 43 | 7 |
| 2025-11-27 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 20 | 68 | 3 |
| 2025-11-23 | New York Giants | Home | 15 | 219 | 11 |
| 2025-11-16 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 12 | 39 | 5 |
Counted from the same 20 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 2 |
| 25th percentile | 41 |
| Median | 68 |
| 75th percentile | 136 |
| Highest logged game | 219 |
11 of 20 games (55%) landed between 41 and 136; 11 (55%) finished at or above the 68 median, and the spread from 2 to 219 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Jahmyr Gibbs actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 3 | 104.3 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 102.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 31 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 98.6 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 3 to 4 days | 3 | 53.7 |
| 5 or more days | 16 | 94.9 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 73 | 153 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 92 | 116 |
Most-faced in this log is Minnesota Vikings, 3 games at 73, best of 153. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 68 median rather than a posted line, Jahmyr Gibbs's longest run at or above it is 4 games and the run open at the newest of the 20 is 4. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 17.5 | 5.7 | steady | 20 |
| receptions | 4.5 | 2.7 | mixed | 20 |
| rushing yards | 87.3 | 55.2 | mixed | 20 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 3 markets measured here, averaging 17.5 with a spread of 5.7; their rushing yards swings most, 87.3 with a spread of 55.2. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Jahmyr Gibbs has gone over 16.5 carries in 11 of 20 logged games (55%).
At home they average 18.1 over 10 games; away, 16.9 over 10.
Jahmyr Gibbs rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jahmyr Gibbs has gone over 68.5 rushing yards in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 101.7 over 10 games; away, 72.8 over 10.
Jahmyr Gibbs rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jahmyr Gibbs has gone over 3.5 receptions in 11 of 20 logged games (55%).
At home they average 5.6 over 10 games; away, 3.3 over 10.
Jahmyr Gibbs receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Jahmyr Gibbs of the Detroit Lions. The books are currently pricing Rush Attempts, Rushing Yards and Receptions lines for Jahmyr Gibbs, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Rush Attempts, Rushing Yards and Receptions. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.