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Over 11 logged NFL games, Joe Burrow has gone over 254.5 passing yards 6 times (55%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 271.0 passing yards across those 11 games. Their last 5 (272.2) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Baltimore Ravens in this log they have 2 games, averaging 243.0. These are measured box-score results from Cincinnati Bengals games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 11 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 207.5 passing yards | 9 of 11 (82%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 225.5 passing yards | 8 of 11 (73%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 254.5 passing yards | 6 of 11 (55%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 284.5 passing yards | 3 of 11 (27%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 305.5 passing yards | 2 of 11 (18%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Joe Burrow right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Joe Burrow has averaged 272.2 passing yards over their last 5, against 271.0 across all 11 logged games — no meaningful move either way.
Joe Burrow's passing yards clusters tightly around it — most games land within 61.7 of 271.0. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 272.2 passing yards |
| Last 10 games | 272.0 passing yards |
| All 11 logged games | 271.0 passing yards |
| Best in the log | 428 |
| Worst in the log | 190 |
| Home (5 games) | 316.0 passing yards |
| Away (5 games) | 233.0 passing yards |
Joe Burrow's highest in this log is 428 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars on 2026-10-04, and the lowest is 190 against the Miami Dolphins on 2026-10-11. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 254.5 passing yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| On the road | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Joe Burrow has cleared 254.5 passing yards 40 points more often at home, 80% in 5 home games against 40% in 5 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Joe Burrow has 2 logged games against the Baltimore Ravens, averaging 243.0 passing yards with a high of 261. Most recent first, those games read 225, 261. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 190 |
| 2026-10-04 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 428 |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 282 |
| 2026-09-20 | Houston Texans | Away | 207 |
| 2026-09-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 254 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cleveland Browns | — | 236 |
| 2025-12-28 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 305 |
| 2025-12-21 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 309 |
| 2025-12-14 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 225 |
| 2025-12-07 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 284 |
Every passing yards prop the books have posted for Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Joe Burrow props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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