This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Keenan Allen has gone over a balanced line of 4.5 receptions 9 times (43%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 4.5 receptions across those 21 games. Their last 5 average 5.4, 19% above their 4.5 over their last 21 games. These are measured box-score results from Indianapolis Colts games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the Miami Dolphins. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 21 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptions | 17 of 21 (81%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 3.5 receptions | 14 of 21 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 receptions | 9 of 21 (43%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 6 of 21 (29%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 6.5 receptions | 4 of 21 (19%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Keenan Allen right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Keenan Allen has averaged 5.4 receptions over their last 5, 19% above their 4.5 across all 21 logged games.
Keenan Allen's receptions vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.4 around 4.5. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5.4 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 5.0 receptions |
| All 21 logged games | 4.5 receptions |
| Best in the log | 11 |
| Worst in the log | 1 |
| Home (10 games) | 4.9 receptions |
| Away (11 games) | 4.2 receptions |
Keenan Allen's highest in this log is 11 receptions against the Indianapolis Colts on 2025-10-19, and the lowest is 1 against the Kansas City Chiefs on 2026-09-20. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| On the road | 5 of 11 (45%) |
Keenan Allen has cleared 4.5 receptions at much the same rate home and away, 40% against 45%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Keenan Allen has 1 logged game against the Miami Dolphins, averaging 4.0 receptions with a high of 4. Most recent first, those games read 4. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 7 |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 8 |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 5 |
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Texans | Home | 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Baltimore Ravens | Home | 6 |
| 2026-01-12 | New England Patriots | Away | 3 |
| 2026-01-04 | Denver Broncos | Away | 7 |
Keenan Allen of the Indianapolis Colts in receptions, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Keenan Allen props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.