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Over 12 logged NFL games, Sam LaPorta has gone over 4.5 receptions 7 times (58%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 4.5 receptions across those 12 games. Their last 5 average 5.0, 11% above their 4.5 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from Detroit Lions games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 12 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptions | 8 of 12 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 4.5 receptions | 7 of 12 (58%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 5.5 receptions | 3 of 12 (25%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Sam LaPorta right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Sam LaPorta has averaged 5.0 receptions over their last 5, 11% above their 4.5 across all 12 logged games.
Sam LaPorta's receptions clusters tightly around it — most games land within 1.2 of 4.5. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5.0 receptions |
| Last 10 games | 4.5 receptions |
| All 12 logged games | 4.5 receptions |
| Best in the log | 6 |
| Worst in the log | 3 |
| Home (5 games) | 3.4 receptions |
| Away (7 games) | 5.3 receptions |
Sam LaPorta's highest in this log is 6 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on 2026-09-18, and the lowest is 3 against the New York Jets on 2026-09-27. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 4.5 receptions |
|---|---|
| At home | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| On the road | 6 of 7 (86%) |
Sam LaPorta has cleared 4.5 receptions 66 points more often on the road, 20% in 5 home games against 86% in 7 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | New York Jets | Home | 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | New Orleans Saints | Home | 5 |
| 2025-11-09 | Washington Commanders | Away | 5 |
| 2025-11-02 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 6 |
| 2025-10-20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 5 |
| 2025-10-05 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 5 |
| 2025-09-28 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 3 |
| 2025-09-23 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 4 |
Every receptions prop the books have posted for Sam LaPorta of the Detroit Lions, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar with a positive shrunk estimate at the current price, at least ten games behind the rate, a B− grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Sam LaPorta props and hit rates · Every NFL receptions prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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