Maya Caldwell player props and hit rates

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Over 55 logged WNBA games, Maya Caldwell has gone over 3.5 points 29 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it twice (20%). They average 4.5 points across those 55 games. Their last 5 average 4.0, 11% below their 4.5 across the full log. Against the Indiana Fever in this log they have 4 games, averaging 3.3. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Lynx games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.

Measured history as of 2026-09-23. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

Every market Maya Caldwell is priced in

Maya Caldwell — measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Points554.5 pointsOver 3.529 of 55 (53%)

Maya Caldwell points: the shape of the log

Counted from the same 55 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.

Where Maya Caldwell's points have landed

Maya Caldwell — points by percentile over 55 logged games
PercentilePoints
Lowest logged game0
25th percentile2
Median4
75th percentile6
Highest logged game19

34 of 55 games (62%) landed between 2 and 6; 29 (53%) finished at or above the 4 median, and the spread from 0 to 19 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Maya Caldwell actually recorded.

Maya Caldwell by month

Maya Caldwell — points by calendar month, newest first
MonthLogged gamesAverage
August 2026102.8
July 2026114.1
June 2026114.6
May 202684.5
September 202586.8
August 202555.4

By days since the previous logged game

Maya Caldwell — points by the gap back to the last game in this log
GapLogged gamesAverage
2 days255.1
3 to 4 days234.2
5 or more days54.6

The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure — a box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.

Opponents Maya Caldwell has faced most

Maya Caldwell — points against the opponents this log has seen more than once
OpponentLogged gamesAverageBest
Connecticut Sun6411
Los Angeles Sparks58.619
Dallas Wings53.26
Las Vegas Aces51.66
New York Liberty457
GSV449

Most-faced in this log is Connecticut Sun, 6 games at 4, best of 11. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.

Against their own 4 median rather than a posted line, Maya Caldwell's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 55 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster — not when the next one is.

Maya Caldwell points

Maya Caldwell has gone over 3.5 points in 29 of 55 logged games (53%).

  • Over 2.5 points: 35 of 55 (64%)
  • Over 3.5 points: 29 of 55 (53%)
  • Over 5.5 points: 17 of 55 (31%)

At home they average 5.9 over 30 games; away, 2.9 over 25.

Maya Caldwell points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop research for Maya Caldwell of the Minnesota Lynx. The books are currently pricing Points lines for Maya Caldwell, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, shrunk toward a league prior so a hot fortnight cannot pass for an edge, then compared with the price. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because a WNBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official WNBA box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What props are available for Maya Caldwell today?

Whatever the books have priced — currently Points. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.

What is Maya Caldwell's hit rate on their props?

It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, shrunk toward a league prior so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.

Does Maya Caldwell perform differently at home?

The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.

Will Maya Caldwell's prop hit tonight?

No one knows, and any WNBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.

How WNBA prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.