Napheesa Collier player props and hit rates

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Over 25 logged WNBA games, Napheesa Collier has gone over 18.5 points 12 times (48%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 19.0 points across those 25 games. Their last 5 average 15.4, 19% below their 19.0 across the full log. They have gone under 18.5 in each of their last 4. Against the Connecticut Sun in this log they have 1 game, averaging 17.0. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Lynx games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.

Measured history as of 2026-09-20. Rebuilt daily; lines and prices load live.

Every market Napheesa Collier is priced in

Napheesa Collier — measured history by market
MarketLogged gamesAverageMost balanced lineHit rate there
Rebounds257.0 reboundsOver 6.514 of 25 (56%)
3-Pointers Made251.7 three-pointersOver 1.513 of 25 (52%)
Points2519.0 pointsOver 18.512 of 25 (48%)
Points + Rebounds2526.0 combined points and reboundsOver 25.514 of 25 (56%)

Napheesa Collier's last 8 games, market by market

Every market Napheesa Collier is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.

Napheesa Collier — recent games across every priced market
DateOpponentVenueRebounds3-Pointers MadePointsPoints + Rebounds
2026-09-18New York LibertyHome701421
2026-08-30Atlanta DreamAway721724
2026-08-24GSVHome71916
2026-08-19GSVAway801826
2026-08-15Las Vegas AcesAway621925
2026-08-12PDXAway902029
2026-08-09Dallas WingsHome831725
2026-08-08Las Vegas AcesHome652228

Napheesa Collier rebounds

Napheesa Collier has gone over 6.5 rebounds in 14 of 25 logged games (56%).

  • Over 5.5 rebounds: 21 of 25 (84%)
  • Over 6.5 rebounds: 14 of 25 (56%)
  • Over 8.5 rebounds: 6 of 25 (24%)

At home they average 6.9 over 14 games; away, 7.1 over 11.

Napheesa Collier rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Napheesa Collier 3-pointers made

Napheesa Collier has gone over 1.5 three-pointers in 13 of 25 logged games (52%).

  • Over 0.5 three-pointers: 20 of 25 (80%)
  • Over 1.5 three-pointers: 13 of 25 (52%)
  • Over 2.5 three-pointers: 6 of 25 (24%)

At home they average 1.9 over 14 games; away, 1.5 over 11.

Napheesa Collier 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Napheesa Collier points

Napheesa Collier has gone over 18.5 points in 12 of 25 logged games (48%).

  • Over 17.5 points: 16 of 25 (64%)
  • Over 18.5 points: 12 of 25 (48%)
  • Over 20.5 points: 7 of 25 (28%)

At home they average 19.4 over 14 games; away, 18.5 over 11.

Napheesa Collier points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Napheesa Collier points + rebounds

Napheesa Collier has gone over 25.5 combined points and rebounds in 14 of 25 logged games (56%).

  • Over 23.5 combined points and rebounds: 18 of 25 (72%)
  • Over 25.5 combined points and rebounds: 14 of 25 (56%)
  • Over 27.5 combined points and rebounds: 8 of 25 (32%)

At home they average 26.3 over 14 games; away, 25.6 over 11.

Napheesa Collier points + rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line

Prop research for Napheesa Collier of the Minnesota Lynx. The books are currently pricing Rebounds, 3-Pointers Made, Points and Points + Rebounds lines for Napheesa Collier, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, shrunk toward a league prior so a hot fortnight cannot pass for an edge, then compared with the price. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because a WNBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official WNBA box scores, one row per game actually played — no projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins — this is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What props are available for Napheesa Collier today?

Whatever the books have priced — currently Rebounds, 3-Pointers Made, Points and Points + Rebounds. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.

What is Napheesa Collier's hit rate on their props?

It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, shrunk toward a league prior so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.

Does Napheesa Collier perform differently at home?

The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.

Will Napheesa Collier's prop hit tonight?

No one knows, and any WNBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.

How WNBA prop markets behave, measured across the league

Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.