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Over 77 NBA games since October 2025, Brandon Miller has gone over the posted 20.5 points 38 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 20.2 points across those 77 games. Their last 5 average 15.6, 24% below their 20.6 this season (10 games). They have gone under 20.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Charlotte Hornets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:40 PM ET, on the road against the Los Angeles Clippers. Last logged game November 6, 9 days before.
| Line | All 77 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 points | 66 of 77 (86%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 52 of 77 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 20.5 points | 38 of 77 (49%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 23.5 points | 24 of 77 (31%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 26.5 points | 12 of 77 (16%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Brandon Miller right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Brandon Miller has averaged 15.6 points over their last 5, 23% below their 20.2 across all 77 logged games.
Brandon Miller's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 7.2 around 20.2. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 15.6 points |
| Last 10 games | 20.6 points |
| All 77 logged games | 20.2 points |
| Best in the log | 39 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (41 games) | 21.3 points |
| Away (36 games) | 18.9 points |
Brandon Miller's highest in this log is 39 points against the Washington Wizards on 2026-10-26, and the lowest is 4 against the Philadelphia 76ers on 2025-10-25. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 20.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 24 of 41 (59%) |
| On the road | 14 of 36 (39%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 13 (46%) |
| On two or more days between games | 30 of 61 (49%) |
| Against the Detroit Pistons | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Washington Wizards | 3 of 5 (60%) |
Brandon Miller has cleared 20.5 points 20 points more often at home, 59% in 41 home games against 39% in 36 away.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 46% on one day, 49% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the Detroit Pistons, 3 of them over 20.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Boston Celtics | Home | 8 |
| 2026-11-04 | Brooklyn Nets | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-02 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 17 |
| 2026-10-31 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 24 |
| 2026-10-30 | Washington Wizards | Away | 19 |
| 2026-10-28 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 31 |
| 2026-10-26 | Washington Wizards | Home | 39 |
| 2026-10-24 | Miami Heat | Home | 34 |
| 2026-10-23 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-21 | Brooklyn Nets | Away | 18 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Brandon Miller of the Charlotte Hornets, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Brandon Miller props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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