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With no line posted, over 87 NBA games since October 2025, Chet Holmgren has gone over a balanced line of 15.5 points 45 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it once (10%). They average 16.6 points across those 87 games. Their last 5 average 10.0, 40% below their 16.6 over their last 87 games. They have gone under 15.5 in each of their last 5. These are measured box-score results from Oklahoma City Thunder games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 87 | 16.6 points | Over 15.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) |
| Rebounds | 87 | 8.8 rebounds | Over 8.5 | 50 of 87 (57%) |
| Assists | 87 | 1.6 assists | Over 1.5 | 44 of 87 (51%) |
| Steals | 87 | 0.7 steals | Over 0.5 | 42 of 87 (48%) |
| Blocks | 87 | 1.9 blocks | Over 1.5 | 47 of 87 (54%) |
| Turnovers | 87 | 1.5 turnovers | Over 1.5 | 37 of 87 (43%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 87 | 1.2 three-pointers | Over 0.5 | 56 of 87 (64%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 87 | 26.9 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 27.5 | 43 of 87 (49%) |
| Points + Rebounds | 87 | 25.4 combined points and rebounds | Over 25.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) |
| Points + Assists | 87 | 18.1 combined points and assists | Over 17.5 | 41 of 87 (47%) |
| Rebounds + Assists | 87 | 10.4 combined rebounds and assists | Over 10.5 | 36 of 87 (41%) |
| Blocks + Steals | 87 | 2.6 combined blocks and steals | Over 2.5 | 44 of 87 (51%) |
| Double-Double | 87 | 30 of 87 (34%) | No line, yes or no | 34% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | Over 12.5 | 63 of 87 (72%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Points | Over 15.5 | 45 of 87 (52%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Points | Over 19.5 | 26 of 87 (30%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Rebounds | Over 7.5 | 59 of 87 (68%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rebounds | Over 8.5 | 50 of 87 (57%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 10.5 | 22 of 87 (25%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Assists | Over 0.5 | 70 of 87 (80%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Assists | Over 1.5 | 44 of 87 (51%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Assists | Over 2.5 | 14 of 87 (16%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Steals | Over 0.5 | 42 of 87 (48%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Steals | Over 1.5 | 15 of 87 (17%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Blocks | Over 0.5 | 68 of 87 (78%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Blocks | Over 1.5 | 47 of 87 (54%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Blocks | Over 2.5 | 29 of 87 (33%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Turnovers | Over 0.5 | 67 of 87 (77%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Turnovers | Over 1.5 | 37 of 87 (43%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Turnovers | Over 2.5 | 20 of 87 (23%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 0.5 | 56 of 87 (64%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for Chet Holmgren, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals | Blocks | Turnovers | 3-Pointers Made | Points + Rebounds + Assists | Points + Rebounds | Points + Assists | Rebounds + Assists | Blocks + Steals | Double-Double |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | LA Clippers | Home | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-10-22 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 12 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 19 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-05-26 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 27 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 87 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 4 |
| 25th percentile | 12 |
| Median | 16 |
| 75th percentile | 21 |
| Highest logged game | 31 |
48 of 87 games (55%) landed between 12 and 21; 45 (52%) finished at or above the 16 median, and the spread from 4 to 31 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Chet Holmgren actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 3 | 12 |
| May 2026 | 11 | 14.1 |
| April 2026 | 8 | 17.8 |
| March 2026 | 12 | 16.6 |
| February 2026 | 10 | 14.3 |
| January 2026 | 14 | 16.9 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 9 | 18 |
| 2 days | 49 | 16.4 |
| 3 to 4 days | 20 | 16.2 |
| 5 or more days | 8 | 15.5 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 12 | 10.9 | 17 |
| Phoenix Suns | 8 | 18.4 | 24 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 8 | 15.8 | 24 |
| Utah Jazz | 4 | 20 | 25 |
| LA Clippers | 4 | 18.3 | 30 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 4 | 15.5 | 21 |
Most-faced in this log is San Antonio Spurs, 12 games at 10.9, best of 17. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 16 median rather than a posted line, Chet Holmgren's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 87 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| points + rebounds + assists | 26.9 | 8.1 | steady | 87 |
| points + rebounds | 25.4 | 7.7 | steady | 87 |
| points + assists | 18.1 | 6.3 | mixed | 87 |
| points | 16.6 | 6.1 | mixed | 87 |
| rebounds | 8.8 | 3.3 | mixed | 87 |
| rebounds + assists | 10.4 | 3.9 | mixed | 87 |
| blocks + steals | 2.6 | 1.8 | mixed | 87 |
| assists | 1.6 | 1.2 | volatile | 87 |
| blocks | 1.9 | 1.5 | volatile | 87 |
| turnovers | 1.5 | 1.3 | volatile | 87 |
| 3-pointers made | 1.2 | 1.3 | volatile | 87 |
Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 11 markets measured here, averaging 26.9 with a spread of 8.1; their 3-pointers made swings most, 1.2 with a spread of 1.3. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Chet Holmgren has gone over 15.5 points in 45 of 87 logged games (52%).
At home they average 16.5 over 43 games; away, 16.6 over 44.
Chet Holmgren points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 8.5 rebounds in 50 of 87 logged games (57%).
At home they average 9.4 over 43 games; away, 8.2 over 44.
Chet Holmgren rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 1.5 assists in 44 of 87 logged games (51%).
At home they average 1.5 over 43 games; away, 1.6 over 44.
Chet Holmgren assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 0.5 steals in 42 of 87 logged games (48%).
At home they average 0.7 over 43 games; away, 0.7 over 44.
Chet Holmgren steals: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 1.5 blocks in 47 of 87 logged games (54%).
At home they average 1.9 over 43 games; away, 1.8 over 44.
Chet Holmgren blocks: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 1.5 turnovers in 37 of 87 logged games (43%).
At home they average 1.5 over 43 games; away, 1.5 over 44.
Chet Holmgren turnovers: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 0.5 three-pointers in 56 of 87 logged games (64%).
At home they average 1.3 over 43 games; away, 1.1 over 44.
Chet Holmgren 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Chet Holmgren has gone over 27.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 43 of 87 logged games (49%).
At home they average 27.4 over 43 games; away, 26.5 over 44.
Chet Holmgren has gone over 25.5 combined points and rebounds in 45 of 87 logged games (52%).
At home they average 25.9 over 43 games; away, 24.9 over 44.
Chet Holmgren has gone over 17.5 combined points and assists in 41 of 87 logged games (47%).
At home they average 18.0 over 43 games; away, 18.3 over 44.
Chet Holmgren has gone over 10.5 combined rebounds and assists in 36 of 87 logged games (41%).
At home they average 10.9 over 43 games; away, 9.9 over 44.
Chet Holmgren has gone over 2.5 combined blocks and steals in 44 of 87 logged games (51%).
At home they average 2.6 over 43 games; away, 2.5 over 44.
Chet Holmgren has a double-double in 30 of 87 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 17 of 43 games; away, 13 of 44.
Chet Holmgren double-double: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Chet Holmgren of the Oklahoma City Thunder. What follows is the record in Points, Rebounds, Assists, Steals, Blocks, Turnovers, 3-Pointers Made, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Points + Rebounds, Points + Assists, Rebounds + Assists, Blocks + Steals and Double-Double: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Chet Holmgren, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.