This page is loading and it needs JavaScript. The written page below is served without it.
With no line posted, over 68 NBA games since November 2025, Daniel Gafford has gone over a balanced line of 8.5 points 31 times (46%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 9.5 points across those 68 games. Their last 5 (9.2) are in line with their 9.2 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Dallas Mavericks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 68 | 6.5 rebounds | Over 6.5 | 33 of 68 (49%) |
| Points | 68 | 9.5 points | Over 8.5 | 31 of 68 (46%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | Over 4.5 | 47 of 68 (69%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rebounds | Over 6.5 | 33 of 68 (49%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 7.5 | 24 of 68 (35%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Points | Over 6.5 | 48 of 68 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Points | Over 8.5 | 31 of 68 (46%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Points | Over 11.5 | 20 of 68 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market Daniel Gafford is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rebounds | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 3 | 10 |
| 2026-11-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-11-09 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 2 | 8 |
| 2026-11-08 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 5 | 18 |
| 2026-11-06 | Utah Jazz | Home | 1 | 7 |
| 2026-11-04 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 4 | 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 7 | 20 |
| 2026-10-30 | Houston Rockets | Home | 7 | 18 |
| 2026-10-28 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Home | 11 | 7 |
| 2026-10-26 | Miami Heat | Away | 9 | 8 |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs | Home | 9 | 12 |
| 2026-10-23 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 3 | 4 |
| 2026-10-21 | Houston Rockets | Away | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Los Angeles Lakers | Home | 7 | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | Orlando Magic | Home | 3 | 7 |
| 2026-03-31 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 4 | 7 |
Counted from the same 68 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 5 |
| Median | 8 |
| 75th percentile | 14 |
| Highest logged game | 24 |
40 of 68 games (59%) landed between 5 and 14; 39 (57%) finished at or above the 8 median, and the spread from 0 to 24 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Daniel Gafford actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 7 | 9.7 |
| October 2026 | 6 | 8.5 |
| March 2026 | 11 | 15.1 |
| February 2026 | 9 | 8.9 |
| January 2026 | 10 | 7.6 |
| December 2025 | 9 | 6.2 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 7 | 7 |
| 2 days | 38 | 10 |
| 3 to 4 days | 15 | 9.7 |
| 5 or more days | 7 | 8.7 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 5 | 11.8 | 18 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 4 | 11.5 | 21 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 4 | 10.3 | 22 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 4 | 9.8 | 16 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Sacramento Kings | 3 | 13.7 | 20 |
Most-faced in this log is Houston Rockets, 5 games at 11.8, best of 18. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 8 median rather than a posted line, Daniel Gafford's longest run at or above it is 11 games and the run open at the newest of the 68 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
Daniel Gafford has gone over 6.5 rebounds in 33 of 68 logged games (49%).
At home they average 6.9 over 34 games; away, 6.2 over 34.
Daniel Gafford rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Daniel Gafford has gone over 8.5 points in 31 of 68 logged games (46%).
At home they average 10.9 over 34 games; away, 8.0 over 34.
Daniel Gafford points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Daniel Gafford of the Dallas Mavericks. The books are currently pricing Rebounds and Points lines for Daniel Gafford, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
You must be 21+ (or older, where your jurisdiction sets a higher age) to bet. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) for free, confidential help.
Whatever the books have priced: currently Rebounds and Points. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.