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With no line posted, over 68 NBA games since November 2025, Daniel Gafford has gone over a balanced line of 8.5 points 31 times (46%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 9.5 points across those 68 games. Their last 5 (9.2) are in line with their 9.2 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Dallas Mavericks games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 68 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 points | 57 of 68 (84%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 6.5 points | 48 of 68 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 8.5 points | 31 of 68 (46%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 11.5 points | 20 of 68 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 16.5 points | 10 of 68 (15%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Daniel Gafford right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Daniel Gafford has averaged 9.2 points over their last 5, against 9.5 across all 68 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Daniel Gafford's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 5.9 around 9.5. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 9.2 points |
| Last 10 games | 10.1 points |
| All 68 logged games | 9.5 points |
| Best in the log | 24 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (34 games) | 10.9 points |
| Away (34 games) | 8.0 points |
Daniel Gafford's highest in this log is 24 points against the Atlanta Hawks on 2026-03-18, and the lowest is 0 against the Utah Jazz on 2026-01-08. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 8.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 17 of 34 (50%) |
| On the road | 14 of 34 (41%) |
| On one day between games | 1 of 7 (14%) |
| On two or more days between games | 30 of 59 (51%) |
| Against the Houston Rockets | 4 of 5 (80%) |
Daniel Gafford has cleared 8.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 50% against 41%.
Rest has suited them, 14% over 7 games on a single day between games against 51% over 59 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the Houston Rockets, 4 of them over 8.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 3 |
| 2026-11-09 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 8 |
| 2026-11-08 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 18 |
| 2026-11-06 | Utah Jazz | Home | 7 |
| 2026-11-04 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 20 |
| 2026-10-30 | Houston Rockets | Home | 18 |
| 2026-10-28 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-26 | Miami Heat | Away | 8 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Daniel Gafford of the Dallas Mavericks, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Daniel Gafford props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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