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With no line posted, over 61 NBA games since October 2025, Derrick Jones Jr. has gone over a balanced line of 10.5 points 31 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 10.3 points across those 61 games. Their last 5 (10.8) are in line with their 11.4 this season (10 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from LA Clippers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 61 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 points | 51 of 61 (84%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 7.5 points | 43 of 61 (70%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 10.5 points | 31 of 61 (51%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 12.5 points | 19 of 61 (31%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 15.5 points | 11 of 61 (18%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Derrick Jones Jr. right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 10.8 points over their last 5, against 10.3 across all 61 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Derrick Jones Jr.'s points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 5.1 around 10.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 10.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 11.4 points |
| All 61 logged games | 10.3 points |
| Best in the log | 22 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (36 games) | 10.3 points |
| Away (25 games) | 10.5 points |
Derrick Jones Jr.'s highest in this log is 22 points against the New Orleans Pelicans on 2026-03-19, and the lowest is 0 against the Golden State Warriors on 2026-04-12. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 10.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 18 of 36 (50%) |
| On the road | 13 of 25 (52%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 8 (75%) |
| On two or more days between games | 24 of 49 (49%) |
| Against the New Orleans Pelicans | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Golden State Warriors | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Against the Sacramento Kings | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Derrick Jones Jr. has cleared 10.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 50% against 52%.
Short rest has suited them, 75% over 8 games on a single day between games against 49% over 49 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the New Orleans Pelicans, 3 of them over 10.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Home | 14 |
| 2026-11-10 | Phoenix Suns | Away | 11 |
| 2026-11-08 | New Orleans Pelicans | Home | 8 |
| 2026-11-04 | Miami Heat | Home | 12 |
| 2026-11-01 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 9 |
| 2026-10-30 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Away | 10 |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers | Home | 15 |
| 2026-10-25 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Away | 11 |
| 2026-10-23 | Los Angeles Lakers | Away | 16 |
| 2026-10-21 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 8 |
Derrick Jones Jr. of the LA Clippers in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Derrick Jones Jr. props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.