Paul Reed Points props

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With no line posted, over 86 NBA games since October 2025, Paul Reed has gone over a balanced line of 7.5 points 46 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 9 times (90%). They average 8.2 points across those 86 games. Their last 5 average 8.4, 26% below their 11.3 this season (12 games). These are measured box-score results from Detroit Pistons games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.

This page is the measured record from official box scores. When the live board carries a line for this player, it loads at the top of this page, at the same address.

Data through Nov 14, 2026.

Paul Reed next game

Friday, November 20, 7:40 PM ET, at home against the Toronto Raptors. Last logged game November 14, 6 days before.

How often does Paul Reed go over each points line?

Paul Reed: points hit rate by line, from official box scores
LineAll 86Last 10Last 5
Over 2.5 points73 of 86 (85%)10 of 10 (100%)5 of 5 (100%)
Over 4.5 points56 of 86 (65%)9 of 10 (90%)4 of 5 (80%)
Over 7.5 points46 of 86 (53%)9 of 10 (90%)4 of 5 (80%)
Over 10.5 points22 of 86 (26%)5 of 10 (50%)1 of 5 (20%)
Over 13.5 points13 of 86 (15%)2 of 10 (20%)0 of 5 (0%)

These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Paul Reed right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.

Paul Reed's form is flat

Paul Reed has averaged 8.4 points over their last 5, against 8.2 across all 86 logged games, no meaningful move either way.

Paul Reed's points swing widely: a standard deviation of 6.0 on a 8.2 average. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night.

Paul Reed: points by window and venue
WindowAverage
Last 5 games8.4 points
Last 10 games11.1 points
All 86 logged games8.2 points
Best in the log28
Worst in the log0
Home (41 games)6.8 points
Away (45 games)9.6 points

Paul Reed's highest in this log is 28 points against the Chicago Bulls on 2025-11-12, and the lowest is 0 against the Orlando Magic on 2026-05-03. Both are single games, not a range to expect.

Paul Reed points: home, rest and matchup splits

Paul Reed: share of games over 7.5 points, split by where and when they played
SplitOver 7.5 points
At home19 of 41 (46%)
On the road27 of 45 (60%)
On one day between games8 of 11 (73%)
On two or more days between games38 of 73 (52%)
Against the Cleveland Cavaliers5 of 8 (63%)
Against the Orlando Magic1 of 8 (13%)
Against the Philadelphia 76ers4 of 6 (67%)
Against the Washington Wizards4 of 6 (67%)
Against the Miami Heat5 of 5 (100%)
Against the Charlotte Hornets3 of 5 (60%)

Paul Reed has cleared 7.5 points 14 points more often on the road, 46% in 41 home games against 60% in 45 away.

Short rest has suited them, 73% over 11 games on a single day between games against 52% over 73 with more.

Their deepest matchup sample is 8 games against the Cleveland Cavaliers, 5 of them over 7.5 points.

A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.

Paul Reed against the Toronto Raptors

Paul Reed has 3 logged games against the Toronto Raptors, averaging 12.0 points with a high of 22. Most recent first, those games read 10, 4, 22. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.

Paul Reed points game log

Paul Reed: last 10 logged games, points
DateOpponentVenuePoints
2026-11-14Miami HeatAway9
2026-11-12Washington WizardsAway13
2026-11-09Washington WizardsHome4
2026-11-08Los Angeles LakersHome8
2026-11-04Philadelphia 76ersHome8
2026-11-02Charlotte HornetsAway11
2026-10-30Brooklyn NetsAway12
2026-10-28Charlotte HornetsHome16
2026-10-27New York KnicksAway22
2026-10-25Philadelphia 76ersAway8

Paul Reed of the Detroit Pistons in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.

How these numbers are made

Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.

Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.

Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.

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How Parlay Builder scores props, in full

How to read a hit rate, and what its denominator hides

Common questions

What is Paul Reed's points line?

None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.

How often has Paul Reed gone over in points?

The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.

Where does this NBA points history come from?

Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.

All Paul Reed props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop

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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.