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With no line posted, over 101 NBA games since October 2025, Donovan Mitchell has gone over a balanced line of 27.5 points 50 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it once (10%). They average 26.9 points across those 101 games. Their last 5 (23.8) are in line with their 23.0 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 27.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Cleveland Cavaliers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 101 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 points | 85 of 101 (84%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 22.5 points | 71 of 101 (70%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 27.5 points | 50 of 101 (50%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 31.5 points | 30 of 101 (30%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 35.5 points | 13 of 101 (13%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Donovan Mitchell right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 23.8 points over their last 5, 12% below their 26.9 across all 101 logged games.
Donovan Mitchell's points cluster tightly around it: most games land within 8.5 of 26.9. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 23.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 21.9 points |
| All 101 logged games | 26.9 points |
| Best in the log | 48 |
| Worst in the log | 6 |
| Home (52 games) | 28.1 points |
| Away (49 games) | 25.7 points |
Donovan Mitchell's highest in this log is 48 points against the Washington Wizards on 2025-12-12, and the lowest is 6 against the Miami Heat on 2026-03-27. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 27.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 30 of 52 (58%) |
| On the road | 20 of 49 (41%) |
| On one day between games | 8 of 13 (62%) |
| On two or more days between games | 40 of 86 (47%) |
| Against the Detroit Pistons | 5 of 9 (56%) |
| Against the New York Knicks | 5 of 9 (56%) |
| Against the Toronto Raptors | 3 of 9 (33%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 3 of 6 (50%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Donovan Mitchell has cleared 27.5 points 17 points more often at home, 58% in 52 home games against 41% in 49 away.
Short rest has suited them, 62% over 13 games on a single day between games against 47% over 86 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 9 games against the Detroit Pistons, 5 of them over 27.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Miami Heat | Away | 25 |
| 2026-11-11 | New York Knicks | Away | 23 |
| 2026-11-09 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 11 |
| 2026-11-07 | New York Knicks | Home | 37 |
| 2026-11-06 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 23 |
| 2026-11-04 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Away | 27 |
| 2026-11-02 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Home | 17 |
| 2026-10-31 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 15 |
| 2026-10-29 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 22 |
| 2026-10-28 | Washington Wizards | Home | 19 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Donovan Mitchell of the Cleveland Cavaliers, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Donovan Mitchell props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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