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With no line posted, over 101 NBA games since October 2025, Donovan Mitchell has gone over a balanced line of 27.5 points 50 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it once (10%). They average 26.9 points across those 101 games. Their last 5 (23.8) are in line with their 23.0 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone under 27.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Cleveland Cavaliers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | 101 | 5.2 assists | Over 4.5 | 59 of 101 (58%) |
| Points | 101 | 26.9 points | Over 27.5 | 50 of 101 (50%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 101 | 36.8 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 37.5 | 51 of 101 (50%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 101 | 3.1 three-pointers | Over 2.5 | 57 of 101 (56%) |
| Rebounds | 101 | 4.6 rebounds | Over 4.5 | 49 of 101 (49%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | Over 3.5 | 74 of 101 (73%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Assists | Over 4.5 | 59 of 101 (58%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Assists | Over 6.5 | 26 of 101 (26%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Points | Over 22.5 | 71 of 101 (70%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Points | Over 27.5 | 50 of 101 (50%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Points | Over 31.5 | 30 of 101 (30%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 31.5 | 70 of 101 (69%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 37.5 | 51 of 101 (50%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 41.5 | 31 of 101 (31%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 1.5 | 85 of 101 (84%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 57 of 101 (56%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 3.5 | 41 of 101 (41%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 3.5 | 66 of 101 (65%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rebounds | Over 4.5 | 49 of 101 (49%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 5.5 | 30 of 101 (30%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Every market Donovan Mitchell is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Assists | Points | Points + Rebounds + Assists | 3-Pointers Made | Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Miami Heat | Away | 7 | 25 | 36 | 5 | 4 |
| 2026-11-11 | New York Knicks | Away | 6 | 23 | 36 | 2 | 7 |
| 2026-11-09 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-11-07 | New York Knicks | Home | 4 | 37 | 45 | 5 | 4 |
| 2026-11-06 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 8 | 23 | 38 | 1 | 7 |
| 2026-11-04 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Away | 6 | 27 | 36 | 5 | 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Home | 11 | 17 | 33 | 4 | 5 |
| 2026-10-31 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 3 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 4 |
Counted from the same 101 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 6 |
| 25th percentile | 21 |
| Median | 27 |
| 75th percentile | 32 |
| Highest logged game | 48 |
53 of 101 games (52%) landed between 21 and 32; 53 (52%) finished at or above the 27 median, and the spread from 6 to 48 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Donovan Mitchell actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 7 | 23.3 |
| October 2026 | 6 | 22.7 |
| May 2026 | 13 | 27.1 |
| April 2026 | 8 | 26.3 |
| March 2026 | 12 | 24 |
| February 2026 | 9 | 25.8 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 13 | 27.8 |
| 2 days | 64 | 25.2 |
| 3 to 4 days | 17 | 31 |
| 5 or more days | 6 | 31.5 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons | 9 | 29.1 | 43 |
| New York Knicks | 9 | 28.6 | 37 |
| Toronto Raptors | 9 | 23.3 | 32 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 6 | 27.7 | 46 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 5 | 22.8 | 32 |
| Orlando Magic | 4 | 37 | 45 |
Most-faced in this log is Detroit Pistons, 9 games at 29.1, best of 43. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 27 median rather than a posted line, Donovan Mitchell's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 101 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| points + rebounds + assists | 36.8 | 9.3 | steady | 101 |
| points | 26.9 | 8.5 | steady | 101 |
| assists | 5.2 | 2.3 | mixed | 101 |
| rebounds | 4.6 | 2.4 | mixed | 101 |
| 3-pointers made | 3.1 | 1.7 | mixed | 101 |
Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 36.8 with a spread of 9.3; their 3-pointers made swings most, 3.1 with a spread of 1.7. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Donovan Mitchell has gone over 4.5 assists in 59 of 101 logged games (58%).
At home they average 5.1 over 52 games; away, 5.3 over 49.
Donovan Mitchell assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Donovan Mitchell has gone over 27.5 points in 50 of 101 logged games (50%).
At home they average 28.1 over 52 games; away, 25.7 over 49.
Donovan Mitchell points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Donovan Mitchell has gone over 37.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 51 of 101 logged games (50%).
At home they average 37.9 over 52 games; away, 35.6 over 49.
Donovan Mitchell points + rebounds + assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Donovan Mitchell has gone over 2.5 three-pointers in 57 of 101 logged games (56%).
At home they average 3.3 over 52 games; away, 2.9 over 49.
Donovan Mitchell 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Donovan Mitchell has gone over 4.5 rebounds in 49 of 101 logged games (49%).
At home they average 4.7 over 52 games; away, 4.5 over 49.
Donovan Mitchell rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Donovan Mitchell of the Cleveland Cavaliers. The books are currently pricing Assists, Points, Points + Rebounds + Assists, 3-Pointers Made and Rebounds lines for Donovan Mitchell, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Assists, Points, Points + Rebounds + Assists, 3-Pointers Made and Rebounds. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.