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With no line posted, over 81 NBA games since October 2025, Klay Thompson has gone over a balanced line of 10.5 points 43 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 8 times (80%). They average 12.3 points across those 81 games. Their last 5 average 20.2, 32% above their 15.3 this season (12 games). They have gone over 10.5 in each of their last 7. These are measured box-score results from Miami Heat games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 81 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 points | 70 of 81 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 7.5 points | 59 of 81 (73%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 10.5 points | 43 of 81 (53%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 25 of 81 (31%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 19.5 points | 12 of 81 (15%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Klay Thompson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Klay Thompson has averaged 20.2 points over their last 5, 65% above their 12.3 across all 81 logged games.
Klay Thompson's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.5 around 12.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 20.2 points |
| Last 10 games | 16.8 points |
| All 81 logged games | 12.3 points |
| Best in the log | 30 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (42 games) | 11.8 points |
| Away (39 games) | 12.7 points |
Klay Thompson's highest in this log is 30 points against the LA Clippers on 2026-11-04, and the lowest is 0 against the Memphis Grizzlies on 2025-11-07. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 10.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 20 of 42 (48%) |
| On the road | 23 of 39 (59%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 8 (75%) |
| On two or more days between games | 37 of 71 (52%) |
| Against the LA Clippers | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Against the Utah Jazz | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Against the Los Angeles Lakers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Klay Thompson has cleared 10.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 48% against 59%.
Short rest has suited them, 75% over 8 games on a single day between games against 52% over 71 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the LA Clippers, 5 of them over 10.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 26 |
| 2026-11-10 | Utah Jazz | Away | 11 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 23 |
| 2026-11-05 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 11 |
| 2026-11-04 | LA Clippers | Away | 30 |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers | Away | 19 |
| 2026-10-30 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 25 |
| 2026-10-28 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 14 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Klay Thompson of the Miami Heat, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Klay Thompson props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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