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With no line posted, over 75 NBA games since October 2025, Luka Dončić has gone over a balanced line of 34.5 points 37 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 34.2 points across those 75 games. Their last 5 (39.8) are in line with their 38.6 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Los Angeles Lakers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:10 PM ET, on the road against the Phoenix Suns. Last logged game November 11, 4 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 75 | 34.2 points | Over 34.5 | 37 of 75 (49%) |
| Rebounds | 75 | 7.7 rebounds | Over 7.5 | 36 of 75 (48%) |
| Assists | 75 | 8.2 assists | Over 7.5 | 42 of 75 (56%) |
| Steals | 75 | 1.7 steals | Over 1.5 | 36 of 75 (48%) |
| Blocks | 75 | 0.6 blocks | Over 0.5 | 33 of 75 (44%) |
| Turnovers | 75 | 4.1 turnovers | Over 3.5 | 42 of 75 (56%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 75 | 4.2 three-pointers | Over 3.5 | 45 of 75 (60%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 75 | 50.1 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 51.5 | 37 of 75 (49%) |
| Points + Rebounds | 75 | 41.9 combined points and rebounds | Over 42.5 | 37 of 75 (49%) |
| Points + Assists | 75 | 42.4 combined points and assists | Over 42.5 | 36 of 75 (48%) |
| Rebounds + Assists | 75 | 15.9 combined rebounds and assists | Over 15.5 | 40 of 75 (53%) |
| Blocks + Steals | 75 | 2.3 combined blocks and steals | Over 2.5 | 29 of 75 (39%) |
| Double-Double | 75 | 38 of 75 (51%) | No line, yes or no | 51% |
| Triple-Double | 75 | 8 of 75 (11%) | No line, yes or no | 11% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | Over 29.5 | 53 of 75 (71%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Points | Over 34.5 | 37 of 75 (49%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Points | Over 38.5 | 23 of 75 (31%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rebounds | Over 5.5 | 52 of 75 (69%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rebounds | Over 7.5 | 36 of 75 (48%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 9.5 | 20 of 75 (27%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Assists | Over 6.5 | 55 of 75 (73%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Assists | Over 7.5 | 42 of 75 (56%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Assists | Over 9.5 | 26 of 75 (35%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Steals | Over 0.5 | 56 of 75 (75%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Steals | Over 1.5 | 36 of 75 (48%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Steals | Over 2.5 | 21 of 75 (28%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Blocks | Over 0.5 | 33 of 75 (44%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Blocks | Over 1.5 | 8 of 75 (11%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Turnovers | Over 2.5 | 59 of 75 (79%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Turnovers | Over 3.5 | 42 of 75 (56%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Turnovers | Over 5.5 | 18 of 75 (24%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 3.5 | 45 of 75 (60%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
Every market measured for Luka Dončić, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals | Blocks | Turnovers | 3-Pointers Made | Points + Rebounds + Assists | Points + Rebounds | Points + Assists | Rebounds + Assists | Blocks + Steals | Double-Double | Triple-Double |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 32 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 37 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-11-09 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 32 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 40 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-06 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 53 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 63 | 58 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 40 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 49 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | Miami Heat | Home | 42 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 62 | 49 | 55 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Toronto Raptors | Home | 45 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 60 | 51 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 37 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 49 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-27 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 41 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 55 | 46 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers Made | 3 | 3.7 | 6 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 3 | 6.3 | 8 | 8.2 |
| Blocks | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Blocks + Steals | 3 | 1.0 | 2 | 2.3 |
| Points | 3 | 36.0 | 41 | 34.2 |
| Points + Assists | 3 | 42.3 | 49 | 42.4 |
| Points + Rebounds | 3 | 43.3 | 49 | 41.9 |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 3 | 49.7 | 57 | 50.1 |
| Rebounds | 3 | 7.3 | 11 | 7.7 |
| Rebounds + Assists | 3 | 13.7 | 16 | 15.9 |
| Steals | 3 | 1.0 | 2 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 6.0 | 9 | 4.1 |
Counted from the same 75 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 10 |
| 25th percentile | 28 |
| Median | 34 |
| 75th percentile | 41 |
| Highest logged game | 60 |
42 of 75 games (56%) landed between 28 and 41; 40 (53%) finished at or above the 34 median, and the spread from 10 to 60 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Luka Dončić actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 6 | 40.7 |
| October 2026 | 5 | 36.2 |
| March 2026 | 16 | 37.5 |
| February 2026 | 8 | 27 |
| January 2026 | 15 | 34 |
| December 2025 | 9 | 31 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 8 | 39.8 |
| 2 days | 45 | 32.8 |
| 3 to 4 days | 15 | 35.5 |
| 5 or more days | 6 | 33.2 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers | 5 | 29.6 | 43 |
| Utah Jazz | 4 | 41.8 | 52 |
| Sacramento Kings | 4 | 36 | 42 |
| Golden State Warriors | 4 | 33.5 | 43 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 4 | 28.8 | 34 |
| Miami Heat | 3 | 43.7 | 60 |
Most-faced in this log is LA Clippers, 5 games at 29.6, best of 43. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 34 median rather than a posted line, Luka Dončić's longest run at or above it is 7 games and the run open at the newest of the 75 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| points + rebounds + assists | 50.1 | 11.3 | steady | 75 |
| points + assists | 42.4 | 10.0 | steady | 75 |
| points + rebounds | 41.9 | 10.5 | steady | 75 |
| points | 34.2 | 9.3 | steady | 75 |
| rebounds + assists | 15.9 | 4.6 | steady | 75 |
| assists | 8.2 | 3.0 | mixed | 75 |
| rebounds | 7.7 | 3.0 | mixed | 75 |
| 3-pointers made | 4.2 | 2.0 | mixed | 75 |
| turnovers | 4.1 | 2.0 | mixed | 75 |
| blocks + steals | 2.3 | 1.6 | volatile | 75 |
| steals | 1.7 | 1.5 | volatile | 75 |
Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 11 markets measured here, averaging 50.1 with a spread of 11.3; their steals swings most, 1.7 with a spread of 1.5. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Luka Dončić has gone over 34.5 points in 37 of 75 logged games (49%).
At home they average 34.4 over 38 games; away, 34.1 over 37.
Luka Dončić points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 7.5 rebounds in 36 of 75 logged games (48%).
At home they average 7.5 over 38 games; away, 7.9 over 37.
Luka Dončić rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 7.5 assists in 42 of 75 logged games (56%).
At home they average 8.4 over 38 games; away, 8.0 over 37.
Luka Dončić assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 1.5 steals in 36 of 75 logged games (48%).
At home they average 1.5 over 38 games; away, 1.9 over 37.
Luka Dončić steals: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 0.5 blocks in 33 of 75 logged games (44%).
At home they average 0.7 over 38 games; away, 0.4 over 37.
Luka Dončić blocks: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 3.5 turnovers in 42 of 75 logged games (56%).
At home they average 4.3 over 38 games; away, 4.0 over 37.
Luka Dončić turnovers: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 3.5 three-pointers in 45 of 75 logged games (60%).
At home they average 4.3 over 38 games; away, 4.1 over 37.
Luka Dončić 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has gone over 51.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 37 of 75 logged games (49%).
At home they average 50.3 over 38 games; away, 49.9 over 37.
Luka Dončić has gone over 42.5 combined points and rebounds in 37 of 75 logged games (49%).
At home they average 41.9 over 38 games; away, 41.9 over 37.
Luka Dončić has gone over 42.5 combined points and assists in 36 of 75 logged games (48%).
At home they average 42.8 over 38 games; away, 42.1 over 37.
Luka Dončić has gone over 15.5 combined rebounds and assists in 40 of 75 logged games (53%).
At home they average 15.9 over 38 games; away, 15.9 over 37.
Luka Dončić has gone over 2.5 combined blocks and steals in 29 of 75 logged games (39%).
At home they average 2.2 over 38 games; away, 2.3 over 37.
Luka Dončić has a double-double in 38 of 75 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 20 of 38 games; away, 18 of 37.
Luka Dončić double-double: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Luka Dončić has a triple-double in 8 of 75 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 3 of 38 games; away, 5 of 37.
Luka Dončić triple-double: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Luka Dončić of the Los Angeles Lakers. What follows is the record in Points, Rebounds, Assists, Steals, Blocks, Turnovers, 3-Pointers Made, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Points + Rebounds, Points + Assists, Rebounds + Assists, Blocks + Steals, Double-Double and Triple-Double: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Luka Dončić, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.