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With no line posted, over 75 NBA games since October 2025, Luka Dončić has gone over a balanced line of 34.5 points 37 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 34.2 points across those 75 games. Their last 5 (39.8) are in line with their 38.6 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Los Angeles Lakers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:10 PM ET, on the road against the Phoenix Suns. Last logged game November 11, 4 days before.
| Line | All 75 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 points | 65 of 75 (87%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 29.5 points | 53 of 75 (71%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 34.5 points | 37 of 75 (49%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 38.5 points | 23 of 75 (31%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 42.5 points | 13 of 75 (17%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Luka Dončić right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Luka Dončić has averaged 39.8 points over their last 5, 16% above their 34.2 across all 75 logged games.
Luka Dončić's points cluster tightly around it: most games land within 9.3 of 34.2. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 39.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 39.7 points |
| All 75 logged games | 34.2 points |
| Best in the log | 60 |
| Worst in the log | 10 |
| Home (38 games) | 34.4 points |
| Away (37 games) | 34.1 points |
Luka Dončić's highest in this log is 60 points against the Miami Heat on 2026-03-19, and the lowest is 10 against the Philadelphia 76ers on 2026-02-05. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 34.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 20 of 38 (53%) |
| On the road | 17 of 37 (46%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 8 (75%) |
| On two or more days between games | 29 of 64 (45%) |
| Against the LA Clippers | 2 of 5 (40%) |
Luka Dončić has cleared 34.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 53% against 46%.
Short rest has suited them, 75% over 8 games on a single day between games against 45% over 64 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 5 games against the LA Clippers, 2 of them over 34.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Luka Dončić has 3 logged games against the Phoenix Suns, averaging 36.0 points with a high of 41. Most recent first, those games read 41, 29, 38. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 32 |
| 2026-11-09 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 32 |
| 2026-11-06 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 53 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 40 |
| 2026-11-02 | Miami Heat | Home | 42 |
| 2026-11-01 | Toronto Raptors | Home | 45 |
| 2026-10-30 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 37 |
| 2026-10-27 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 41 |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Jazz | Away | 52 |
| 2026-10-23 | LA Clippers | Home | 23 |
Luka Dončić of the Los Angeles Lakers in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
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