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With no line posted, over 82 NBA games since October 2025, Nikola Jokić has gone over a balanced line of 25.5 points 43 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 27.0 points across those 82 games. Their last 5 (25.8) are in line with their 23.7 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Denver Nuggets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Friday, November 20, 10:10 PM ET, at home against the Houston Rockets. Last logged game November 14, 6 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 82 | 27.0 points | Over 25.5 | 43 of 82 (52%) |
| Rebounds | 82 | 12.6 rebounds | Over 12.5 | 43 of 82 (52%) |
| Assists | 82 | 10.4 assists | Over 10.5 | 38 of 82 (46%) |
| Steals | 82 | 1.5 steals | Over 1.5 | 33 of 82 (40%) |
| Blocks | 82 | 0.9 blocks | Over 0.5 | 44 of 82 (54%) |
| Turnovers | 82 | 3.7 turnovers | Over 3.5 | 39 of 82 (48%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 82 | 1.6 three-pointers | Over 1.5 | 36 of 82 (44%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 82 | 50.0 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 48.5 | 41 of 82 (50%) |
| Points + Rebounds | 82 | 39.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 39.5 | 39 of 82 (48%) |
| Points + Assists | 82 | 37.4 combined points and assists | Over 36.5 | 41 of 82 (50%) |
| Rebounds + Assists | 82 | 23.0 combined rebounds and assists | Over 22.5 | 44 of 82 (54%) |
| Blocks + Steals | 82 | 2.3 combined blocks and steals | Over 2.5 | 34 of 82 (41%) |
| Double-Double | 82 | 70 of 82 (85%) | No line, yes or no | 85% |
| Triple-Double | 82 | 39 of 82 (48%) | No line, yes or no | 48% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | Over 22.5 | 58 of 82 (71%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Points | Over 25.5 | 43 of 82 (52%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Points | Over 30.5 | 25 of 82 (30%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rebounds | Over 9.5 | 59 of 82 (72%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rebounds | Over 12.5 | 43 of 82 (52%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rebounds | Over 14.5 | 26 of 82 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Assists | Over 8.5 | 59 of 82 (72%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Assists | Over 10.5 | 38 of 82 (46%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Assists | Over 12.5 | 25 of 82 (30%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Steals | Over 0.5 | 60 of 82 (73%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Steals | Over 1.5 | 33 of 82 (40%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Steals | Over 2.5 | 16 of 82 (20%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Blocks | Over 0.5 | 44 of 82 (54%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Blocks | Over 1.5 | 19 of 82 (23%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Blocks | Over 2.5 | 6 of 82 (7%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Turnovers | Over 2.5 | 53 of 82 (65%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Turnovers | Over 3.5 | 39 of 82 (48%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Turnovers | Over 4.5 | 27 of 82 (33%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for Nikola Jokić, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals | Blocks | Turnovers | 3-Pointers Made | Points + Rebounds + Assists | Points + Rebounds | Points + Assists | Rebounds + Assists | Blocks + Steals | Double-Double | Triple-Double |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 26 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 44 | 34 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-11 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 27 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 38 | 35 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-09 | Houston Rockets | Away | 25 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 41 | 34 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-07 | Indiana Pacers | Away | 19 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 32 | 27 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | Toronto Raptors | Home | 32 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 42 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Trail Blazers | Home | 26 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 35 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | Phoenix Suns | Away | 18 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 21 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 44 | 34 | 31 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers Made | 5 | 2.2 | 5 | 1.6 |
| Assists | 5 | 9.2 | 13 | 10.4 |
| Blocks | 5 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.9 |
| Blocks + Steals | 5 | 3.2 | 6 | 2.3 |
| Points | 5 | 27.8 | 39 | 27.0 |
| Points + Assists | 5 | 37.0 | 49 | 37.4 |
| Points + Rebounds | 5 | 39.8 | 54 | 39.6 |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 5 | 49.0 | 64 | 50.0 |
| Rebounds | 5 | 12.0 | 16 | 12.6 |
| Rebounds + Assists | 5 | 21.2 | 25 | 23.0 |
| Steals | 5 | 2.0 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Turnovers | 5 | 4.2 | 5 | 3.7 |
Counted from the same 82 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 8 |
| 25th percentile | 22 |
| Median | 26 |
| 75th percentile | 32 |
| Highest logged game | 56 |
45 of 82 games (55%) landed between 22 and 32; 43 (52%) finished at or above the 26 median, and the spread from 8 to 56 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Nikola Jokić actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 6 | 25.8 |
| October 2026 | 5 | 21.2 |
| April 2026 | 11 | 25.6 |
| March 2026 | 16 | 25.7 |
| February 2026 | 11 | 25.6 |
| December 2025 | 13 | 30.6 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 12 | 32.6 |
| 2 days | 45 | 26.1 |
| 3 to 4 days | 20 | 27 |
| 5 or more days | 4 | 22.8 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 10 | 29.8 | 56 |
| Houston Rockets | 5 | 27.8 | 39 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 27.2 | 35 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 5 | 26.2 | 35 |
| Golden State Warriors | 5 | 25.2 | 35 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 5 | 22.6 | 29 |
Most-faced in this log is Minnesota Timberwolves, 10 games at 29.8, best of 56. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 26 median rather than a posted line, Nikola Jokić's longest run at or above it is 11 games and the run open at the newest of the 82 is 2. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| points + rebounds + assists | 50.0 | 10.4 | steady | 82 |
| points + assists | 37.4 | 8.8 | steady | 82 |
| points + rebounds | 39.6 | 9.6 | steady | 82 |
| rebounds + assists | 23.0 | 5.7 | steady | 82 |
| rebounds | 12.6 | 3.8 | steady | 82 |
| points | 27.0 | 8.3 | steady | 82 |
| assists | 10.4 | 3.4 | steady | 82 |
| turnovers | 3.7 | 2.2 | mixed | 82 |
| blocks + steals | 2.3 | 1.7 | volatile | 82 |
| 3-pointers made | 1.6 | 1.3 | volatile | 82 |
| steals | 1.5 | 1.3 | volatile | 82 |
Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 11 markets measured here, averaging 50.0 with a spread of 10.4; their steals swings most, 1.5 with a spread of 1.3. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Nikola Jokić has gone over 25.5 points in 43 of 82 logged games (52%).
At home they average 27.5 over 40 games; away, 26.6 over 42.
Nikola Jokić points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 12.5 rebounds in 43 of 82 logged games (52%).
At home they average 12.4 over 40 games; away, 12.7 over 42.
Nikola Jokić rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 10.5 assists in 38 of 82 logged games (46%).
At home they average 11.1 over 40 games; away, 9.7 over 42.
Nikola Jokić assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 1.5 steals in 33 of 82 logged games (40%).
At home they average 1.5 over 40 games; away, 1.4 over 42.
Nikola Jokić steals: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 0.5 blocks in 44 of 82 logged games (54%).
At home they average 0.9 over 40 games; away, 0.8 over 42.
Nikola Jokić blocks: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 3.5 turnovers in 39 of 82 logged games (48%).
At home they average 3.8 over 40 games; away, 3.6 over 42.
Nikola Jokić turnovers: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 1.5 three-pointers in 36 of 82 logged games (44%).
At home they average 1.5 over 40 games; away, 1.7 over 42.
Nikola Jokić 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has gone over 48.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 41 of 82 logged games (50%).
At home they average 51.0 over 40 games; away, 49.0 over 42.
Nikola Jokić has gone over 39.5 combined points and rebounds in 39 of 82 logged games (48%).
At home they average 39.9 over 40 games; away, 39.3 over 42.
Nikola Jokić has gone over 36.5 combined points and assists in 41 of 82 logged games (50%).
At home they average 38.6 over 40 games; away, 36.3 over 42.
Nikola Jokić has gone over 22.5 combined rebounds and assists in 44 of 82 logged games (54%).
At home they average 23.6 over 40 games; away, 22.5 over 42.
Nikola Jokić has gone over 2.5 combined blocks and steals in 34 of 82 logged games (41%).
At home they average 2.4 over 40 games; away, 2.2 over 42.
Nikola Jokić has a double-double in 70 of 82 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 33 of 40 games; away, 37 of 42.
Nikola Jokić double-double: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Nikola Jokić has a triple-double in 39 of 82 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 23 of 40 games; away, 16 of 42.
Nikola Jokić triple-double: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Nikola Jokić of the Denver Nuggets. What follows is the record in Points, Rebounds, Assists, Steals, Blocks, Turnovers, 3-Pointers Made, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Points + Rebounds, Points + Assists, Rebounds + Assists, Blocks + Steals, Double-Double and Triple-Double: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Nikola Jokić, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.