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With no line posted, over 83 NBA games since October 2025, Paolo Banchero has gone over a balanced line of 22.5 points 44 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 22.6 points across those 83 games. Their last 5 average 29.8, 32% above their 22.6 over their last 83 games. These are measured box-score results from Orlando Magic games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 83 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 points | 69 of 83 (83%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 17.5 points | 60 of 83 (72%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 22.5 points | 44 of 83 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 26.5 points | 24 of 83 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 30.5 points | 14 of 83 (17%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Paolo Banchero right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Paolo Banchero has averaged 29.8 points over their last 5, 32% above their 22.6 across all 83 logged games.
Paolo Banchero's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 8.0 around 22.6. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 29.8 points |
| Last 10 games | 25.8 points |
| All 83 logged games | 22.6 points |
| Best in the log | 45 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (40 games) | 21.5 points |
| Away (43 games) | 23.6 points |
Paolo Banchero's highest in this log is 45 points against the Detroit Pistons on 2026-04-29, and the lowest is 4 against the New York Knicks on 2025-11-12. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 22.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 19 of 40 (48%) |
| On the road | 25 of 43 (58%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 13 (54%) |
| On two or more days between games | 35 of 67 (52%) |
| Against the Detroit Pistons | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Against the Miami Heat | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Against the Atlanta Hawks | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Paolo Banchero has cleared 22.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 48% against 58%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 54% on one day, 52% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 10 games against the Detroit Pistons, 7 of them over 22.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Home | 14 |
| 2026-10-21 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 38 |
| 2026-05-01 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 17 |
| 2026-04-29 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 45 |
| 2026-04-27 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 18 |
| 2026-04-25 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 25 |
| 2026-04-22 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 18 |
| 2026-04-19 | Detroit Pistons | Away | 23 |
| 2026-04-17 | Charlotte Hornets | Home | 25 |
Paolo Banchero of the Orlando Magic in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Paolo Banchero props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.