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With no line posted, over 82 NBA games since October 2025, Pelle Larsson has gone over a balanced line of 3.5 rebounds 33 times (40%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 3.5 rebounds across those 82 games. Their last 5 (3.4) are in line with their 3.5 this season (11 games), so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Miami Heat games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 82 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 rebounds | 67 of 82 (82%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | 54 of 82 (66%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 3.5 rebounds | 33 of 82 (40%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 4.5 rebounds | 25 of 82 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 6.5 rebounds | 9 of 82 (11%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Pelle Larsson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Pelle Larsson has averaged 3.4 rebounds over their last 5, against 3.5 across all 82 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Pelle Larsson's rebounds vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.2 around 3.5. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.4 rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 3.5 rebounds |
| All 82 logged games | 3.5 rebounds |
| Best in the log | 10 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (39 games) | 3.3 rebounds |
| Away (43 games) | 3.6 rebounds |
Pelle Larsson's highest in this log is 10 rebounds against the Philadelphia 76ers on 2026-03-30, and the lowest is 0 against the Dallas Mavericks on 2026-10-26. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 3.5 rebounds |
|---|---|
| At home | 14 of 39 (36%) |
| On the road | 19 of 43 (44%) |
| On one day between games | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| On two or more days between games | 24 of 64 (38%) |
| Against the Charlotte Hornets | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| Against the Orlando Magic | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Pelle Larsson has cleared 3.5 rebounds at much the same rate home and away, 36% against 44%.
Short rest has suited them, 53% over 15 games on a single day between games against 38% over 64 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the Charlotte Hornets, 4 of them over 3.5 rebounds.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | Utah Jazz | Away | 7 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sacramento Kings | Away | 3 |
| 2026-11-05 | Golden State Warriors | Away | 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | LA Clippers | Away | 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | Los Angeles Lakers | Away | 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | Indiana Pacers | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-26 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets | Away | 7 |
| 2026-10-23 | Detroit Pistons | Home | 2 |
Every rebounds prop the books have posted for Pelle Larsson of the Miami Heat, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Pelle Larsson props and hit rates · Every NBA rebounds prop
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