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With no line posted, over 78 NBA games since October 2025, Sam Merrill has gone over a balanced line of 10.5 points 38 times (49%), and over their last 10 they have done it once (10%). They average 11.1 points across those 78 games. Their last 5 average 8.0, 28% below their 11.1 over their last 78 games. They have gone under 10.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from Cleveland Cavaliers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 78 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 points | 68 of 78 (87%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 6.5 points | 54 of 78 (69%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 10.5 points | 38 of 78 (49%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 14.5 points | 22 of 78 (28%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 19.5 points | 11 of 78 (14%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Sam Merrill right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Sam Merrill has averaged 8.0 points over their last 5, 28% below their 11.1 across all 78 logged games.
Sam Merrill's points vary moderately, a standard deviation of 6.6 around 11.1. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 8.0 points |
| Last 10 games | 7.4 points |
| All 78 logged games | 11.1 points |
| Best in the log | 32 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (37 games) | 10.4 points |
| Away (41 games) | 11.7 points |
Sam Merrill's highest in this log is 32 points against the Washington Wizards on 2026-02-11, and the lowest is 0 against the Philadelphia 76ers on 2026-11-06. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 10.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 14 of 37 (38%) |
| On the road | 24 of 41 (59%) |
| On one day between games | 6 of 9 (67%) |
| On two or more days between games | 31 of 66 (47%) |
| Against the Detroit Pistons | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Against the Toronto Raptors | 3 of 8 (38%) |
| Against the New York Knicks | 3 of 7 (43%) |
| Against the Milwaukee Bucks | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Against the Philadelphia 76ers | 1 of 5 (20%) |
Sam Merrill has cleared 10.5 points 21 points more often on the road, 38% in 37 home games against 59% in 41 away.
Short rest has suited them, 67% over 9 games on a single day between games against 47% over 66 with more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 10 games against the Detroit Pistons, 4 of them over 10.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Philadelphia 76ers | Home | 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Away | 10 |
| 2026-11-02 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Home | 8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Milwaukee Bucks | Away | 6 |
| 2026-10-29 | Atlanta Hawks | Away | 16 |
| 2026-10-28 | Washington Wizards | Home | 8 |
| 2026-10-26 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Home | 9 |
| 2026-10-24 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers | Away | 5 |
| 2026-05-25 | New York Knicks | Home | 5 |
Sam Merrill of the Cleveland Cavaliers in points, measured from official NBA box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Sam Merrill props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.