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With no line posted, over 75 NBA games since October 2025, Zion Williamson has gone over a balanced line of 21.5 points 40 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 8 times (80%). They average 21.2 points across those 75 games. Their last 5 (22.6) are in line with their 21.9 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone over 21.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from New Orleans Pelicans games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 75 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 points | 63 of 75 (84%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 18.5 points | 53 of 75 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 21.5 points | 40 of 75 (53%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 24.5 points | 23 of 75 (31%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 27.5 points | 10 of 75 (13%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Zion Williamson right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Zion Williamson has averaged 22.6 points over their last 5, against 21.2 across all 75 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Zion Williamson's points cluster tightly around it: most games land within 6.2 of 21.2. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 22.6 points |
| Last 10 games | 22.3 points |
| All 75 logged games | 21.2 points |
| Best in the log | 35 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (38 games) | 21.2 points |
| Away (37 games) | 21.1 points |
Zion Williamson's highest in this log is 35 points against the Portland Trail Blazers on 2026-01-02, and the lowest is 4 against the Utah Jazz on 2026-02-28. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 21.5 points |
|---|---|
| At home | 20 of 38 (53%) |
| On the road | 20 of 37 (54%) |
| On one day between games | 7 of 13 (54%) |
| On two or more days between games | 31 of 58 (53%) |
| Against the Memphis Grizzlies | 4 of 6 (67%) |
| Against the Denver Nuggets | 2 of 6 (33%) |
Zion Williamson has cleared 21.5 points at much the same rate home and away, 53% against 54%.
A day between games has not moved the number much: 54% on one day, 53% on two or more.
Their deepest matchup sample is 6 games against the Memphis Grizzlies, 4 of them over 21.5 points.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 24 |
| 2026-11-13 | Memphis Grizzlies | Home | 22 |
| 2026-11-11 | Brooklyn Nets | Home | 29 |
| 2026-11-08 | LA Clippers | Away | 25 |
| 2026-11-06 | Minnesota Timberwolves | Home | 13 |
| 2026-11-04 | Utah Jazz | Home | 23 |
| 2026-11-02 | Memphis Grizzlies | Away | 25 |
| 2026-10-31 | Atlanta Hawks | Home | 15 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sacramento Kings | Home | 22 |
| 2026-10-28 | Denver Nuggets | Home | 25 |
Every points prop the books have posted for Zion Williamson of the New Orleans Pelicans, with the NBA game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Zion Williamson props and hit rates · Every NBA points prop
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