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Over 22 NFL games since October 2025, Christian McCaffrey has gone over the posted 14.5 carries 13 times (59%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 15.8 carries across those 22 games. Their last 5 average 13.4, 15% below their 15.8 over their last 22 games. These are measured box-score results from San Francisco 49ers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:25 PM ET, on the road against the Dallas Cowboys. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 22 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 carries | 19 of 22 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 11.5 carries | 15 of 22 (68%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 15.5 carries | 10 of 22 (45%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 18.5 carries | 7 of 22 (32%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 23.5 carries | 3 of 22 (14%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Christian McCaffrey right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Christian McCaffrey has averaged 13.4 carries over their last 5, 15% below their 15.8 across all 22 logged games.
Christian McCaffrey's rush attempts vary moderately, a standard deviation of 5.9 around 15.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 13.4 carries |
| Last 10 games | 12.8 carries |
| All 22 logged games | 15.8 carries |
| Best in the log | 28 |
| Worst in the log | 7 |
| Home (11 games) | 17.0 carries |
| Away (11 games) | 14.6 carries |
Christian McCaffrey's highest in this log is 28 carries against the New York Giants on 2025-11-02, and the lowest is 7 against the Atlanta Falcons on 2026-10-25. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 15.5 carries |
|---|---|
| At home | 6 of 11 (55%) |
| On the road | 4 of 11 (36%) |
Christian McCaffrey has cleared 15.5 carries 19 points more often at home, 55% in 11 home games against 36% in 11 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 18 |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 7 |
| 2026-10-19 | Washington Commanders | Home | 16 |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 11 |
| 2026-10-04 | Denver Broncos | Home | 15 |
| 2026-09-27 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 15 |
| 2026-09-20 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 10 |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 10 |
| 2026-01-17 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 11 |
| 2026-01-11 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 15 |
Every rush attempts prop the books have posted for Christian McCaffrey of the San Francisco 49ers, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Christian McCaffrey props and hit rates · Every NFL rush attempts prop
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