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With no line posted, over 23 NFL games since October 2025, Courtland Sutton has gone over a balanced line of 40.5 receiving yards 12 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 43.0 receiving yards across those 23 games. Their last 5 average 36.0, 16% below their 43.0 over their last 23 games. They have gone over 40.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Denver Broncos games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Line | All 23 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 receiving yards | 20 of 23 (87%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 19.5 receiving yards | 16 of 23 (70%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 40.5 receiving yards | 12 of 23 (52%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 53.5 receiving yards | 7 of 23 (30%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 62.5 receiving yards | 4 of 23 (17%) | 0 of 10 (0%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Courtland Sutton right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Courtland Sutton has averaged 36.0 receiving yards over their last 5, 16% below their 43.0 across all 23 logged games.
Courtland Sutton's receiving yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 27.9 around 43.0. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 36.0 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 28.3 receiving yards |
| All 23 logged games | 43.0 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 113 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (13 games) | 50.3 receiving yards |
| Away (10 games) | 33.4 receiving yards |
Courtland Sutton's highest in this log is 113 receiving yards against the Green Bay Packers on 2025-12-14, and the lowest is 4 against the San Francisco 49ers on 2026-10-04. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 40.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 13 (62%) |
| On the road | 4 of 10 (40%) |
Courtland Sutton has cleared 40.5 receiving yards 22 points more often at home, 62% in 13 home games against 40% in 10 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Courtland Sutton has 2 logged games against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging 43.0 receiving yards with a high of 62. Most recent first, those games read 62, 24. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 45 |
| 2026-11-01 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 53 |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 45 |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 19 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 18 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 46 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 25 |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 11 |
| 2026-01-25 | New England Patriots | Home | 17 |
Courtland Sutton of the Denver Broncos in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Courtland Sutton props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.