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With no line posted, over 23 NFL games since October 2025, Courtland Sutton has gone over a balanced line of 40.5 receiving yards 12 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 43.0 receiving yards across those 23 games. Their last 5 average 36.0, 16% below their 43.0 over their last 23 games. They have gone over 40.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Denver Broncos games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 23 | 43.0 receiving yards | Over 40.5 | 12 of 23 (52%) |
| Receptions | 23 | 3.5 receptions | Over 3.5 | 11 of 23 (48%) |
| Targets | 23 | 6.4 targets | Over 5.5 | 13 of 23 (57%) |
| Receiving TDs | 23 | 0.3 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 7 of 23 (30%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 23 | 7 of 23 (30%) | No line, yes or no | 30% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | Over 19.5 | 16 of 23 (70%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 40.5 | 12 of 23 (52%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 53.5 | 7 of 23 (30%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 16 of 23 (70%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 11 of 23 (48%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receptions | Over 4.5 | 6 of 23 (26%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Targets | Over 4.5 | 16 of 23 (70%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Targets | Over 5.5 | 13 of 23 (57%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Targets | Over 8.5 | 7 of 23 (30%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 7 of 23 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for Courtland Sutton, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 45 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 53 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 45 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 46 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Receiving Yards | 2 | 43.0 | 62 | 43.0 |
| Receptions | 2 | 4.5 | 6 | 3.5 |
| Targets | 2 | 7.0 | 10 | 6.4 |
Counted from the same 23 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 4 |
| 25th percentile | 18 |
| Median | 45 |
| 75th percentile | 62 |
| Highest logged game | 113 |
14 of 23 games (61%) landed between 18 and 62; 12 (52%) finished at or above the 45 median, and the spread from 4 to 113 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Courtland Sutton actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 21.5 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 27.3 |
| January 2026 | 3 | 25 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 75.3 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 43.8 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 57 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 3 to 4 days | 3 | 27.7 |
| 5 or more days | 19 | 46.7 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 40.8 | 59 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 55.5 | 86 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 43 | 62 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 11.5 | 18 |
Most-faced in this log is Kansas City Chiefs, 4 games at 40.8, best of 59. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 45 median rather than a posted line, Courtland Sutton's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 23 is 3. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
Courtland Sutton has gone over 40.5 receiving yards in 12 of 23 logged games (52%).
At home they average 50.3 over 13 games; away, 33.4 over 10.
Courtland Sutton receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Courtland Sutton has gone over 3.5 receptions in 11 of 23 logged games (48%).
At home they average 3.8 over 13 games; away, 3.0 over 10.
Courtland Sutton receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Courtland Sutton has gone over 5.5 targets in 13 of 23 logged games (57%).
At home they average 6.5 over 13 games; away, 6.3 over 10.
Courtland Sutton targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Courtland Sutton has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 7 of 23 logged games (30%).
At home they average 0.2 over 13 games; away, 0.4 over 10.
Courtland Sutton has a anytime touchdown in 7 of 23 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 3 of 13 games; away, 4 of 10.
Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Courtland Sutton of the Denver Broncos. What follows is the record in Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Courtland Sutton, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.