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With no line posted, over 17 NFL games since October 2025, David Montgomery has gone over a balanced line of 25.5 rushing yards 9 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 32.0 rushing yards across those 17 games. Their last 5 average 27.6, 14% below their 32.0 over their last 17 games. These are measured box-score results from Houston Texans games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 17 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 rushing yards | 15 of 17 (88%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 21.5 rushing yards | 12 of 17 (71%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 25.5 rushing yards | 9 of 17 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 33.5 rushing yards | 5 of 17 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 42.5 rushing yards | 3 of 17 (18%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for David Montgomery right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
David Montgomery has averaged 27.6 rushing yards over their last 5, 14% below their 32.0 across all 17 logged games.
David Montgomery's rushing yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 17.2 around 32.0. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 27.6 rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 31.1 rushing yards |
| All 17 logged games | 32.0 rushing yards |
| Best in the log | 71 |
| Worst in the log | 10 |
| Home (9 games) | 31.0 rushing yards |
| Away (8 games) | 33.1 rushing yards |
David Montgomery's highest in this log is 71 rushing yards against the Washington Commanders on 2025-11-09, and the lowest is 10 against the Cincinnati Bengals on 2026-09-20. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 25.5 rushing yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 9 (44%) |
| On the road | 5 of 8 (63%) |
David Montgomery has cleared 25.5 rushing yards 19 points more often on the road, 44% in 9 home games against 63% in 8 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 11 |
| 2026-10-04 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 24 |
| 2026-09-27 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 33 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 10 |
| 2026-09-13 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 60 |
| 2026-01-04 | Chicago Bears | Away | 42 |
| 2025-12-25 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 25 |
| 2025-12-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | 14 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 32 |
| 2025-12-04 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 60 |
David Montgomery of the Houston Texans in rushing yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All David Montgomery props and hit rates · Every NFL rushing yards prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.