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With no line posted, over 17 NFL games since October 2025, David Montgomery has gone over a balanced line of 25.5 rushing yards 9 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 32.0 rushing yards across those 17 games. Their last 5 average 27.6, 14% below their 32.0 over their last 17 games. These are measured box-score results from Houston Texans games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 17 | 32.0 rushing yards | Over 25.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Rushing TDs | 17 | 0.4 rushing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) |
| Rush Attempts | 17 | 8.8 carries | Over 7.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Receiving Yards | 17 | 12.8 receiving yards | Over 13.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Receptions | 17 | 1.4 receptions | Over 1.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Targets | 17 | 1.6 targets | Over 1.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 17 | 5 of 17 (29%) | No line, yes or no | 29% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 21.5 | 12 of 17 (71%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 25.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 33.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rushing TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rushing TDs | Over 1.5 | 1 of 17 (6%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 5.5 | 13 of 17 (76%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 7.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 10.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 10.5 | 11 of 17 (65%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 13.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 16.5 | 5 of 17 (29%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receptions | Over 0.5 | 13 of 17 (76%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 2 of 17 (12%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Targets | Over 0.5 | 14 of 17 (82%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Targets | Over 1.5 | 9 of 17 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 4 of 17 (24%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
Every market measured for David Montgomery, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 24 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 33 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 10 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 60 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Chicago Bears | Away | 42 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025-12-25 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 25 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 17 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 10 |
| 25th percentile | 21 |
| Median | 27 |
| 75th percentile | 40 |
| Highest logged game | 71 |
9 of 17 games (53%) landed between 21 and 40; 9 (53%) finished at or above the 27 median, and the spread from 10 to 71 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score David Montgomery actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 3 | 34.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 32.8 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 37.6 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 42 | 60 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 32.5 | 40 |
Most-faced in this log is Dallas Cowboys, 2 games at 42, best of 60. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 27 median rather than a posted line, David Montgomery's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 17 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 8.8 | 4.2 | mixed | 17 |
| rushing yards | 32.0 | 17.2 | mixed | 17 |
| receptions | 1.4 | 1.0 | mixed | 17 |
| targets | 1.6 | 1.1 | mixed | 17 |
| receiving yards | 12.8 | 9.1 | volatile | 17 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 8.8 with a spread of 4.2; their receiving yards swings most, 12.8 with a spread of 9.1. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
David Montgomery has gone over 25.5 rushing yards in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 31.0 over 9 games; away, 33.1 over 8.
David Montgomery rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
David Montgomery has gone over 0.5 rushing touchdowns in 5 of 17 logged games (29%).
At home they average 0.6 over 9 games; away, 0.1 over 8.
David Montgomery rushing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
David Montgomery has gone over 7.5 carries in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 9.2 over 9 games; away, 8.3 over 8.
David Montgomery rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
David Montgomery has gone over 13.5 receiving yards in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 14.2 over 9 games; away, 11.3 over 8.
David Montgomery receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
David Montgomery has gone over 1.5 receptions in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 1.7 over 9 games; away, 1.1 over 8.
David Montgomery receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
David Montgomery has gone over 1.5 targets in 9 of 17 logged games (53%).
At home they average 2.0 over 9 games; away, 1.3 over 8.
David Montgomery targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
David Montgomery has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 17 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 4 of 9 games; away, 1 of 8.
David Montgomery anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for David Montgomery of the Houston Texans. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rushing TDs, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for David Montgomery, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.