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Over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Derrick Henry has gone over the posted 19.5 carries 11 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 19.9 carries across those 21 games. Their last 5 average 17.2, 14% below their 19.9 over their last 21 games. They have gone under 19.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from Baltimore Ravens games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Monday, November 16, 8:15 PM ET, at home against the Los Angeles Chargers. Last logged game November 5, 11 days before.
| Line | All 21 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 carries | 18 of 21 (86%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 17.5 carries | 14 of 21 (67%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 19.5 carries | 11 of 21 (52%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 23.5 carries | 6 of 21 (29%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 24.5 carries | 3 of 21 (14%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Derrick Henry right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Derrick Henry has averaged 17.2 carries over their last 5, 14% below their 19.9 across all 21 logged games.
Derrick Henry's rush attempts cluster tightly around it: most games land within 5.7 of 19.9. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical night actually looks like.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 17.2 carries |
| Last 10 games | 19.5 carries |
| All 21 logged games | 19.9 carries |
| Best in the log | 36 |
| Worst in the log | 10 |
| Home (10 games) | 19.2 carries |
| Away (11 games) | 20.5 carries |
Derrick Henry's highest in this log is 36 carries against the Green Bay Packers on 2025-12-27, and the lowest is 10 against the Cincinnati Bengals on 2025-11-27. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 19.5 carries |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| On the road | 6 of 11 (55%) |
Derrick Henry has cleared 19.5 carries at much the same rate home and away, 50% against 55%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 17 |
| 2026-11-01 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 11 |
| 2026-10-25 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 17 |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 17 |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 24 |
| 2026-10-04 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 23 |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | 26 |
| 2026-09-20 | New Orleans Saints | Home | 16 |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 24 |
| 2026-01-04 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 20 |
Every rush attempts prop the books have posted for Derrick Henry of the Baltimore Ravens, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Derrick Henry props and hit rates · Every NFL rush attempts prop
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