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With no line posted, over 16 NFL games since October 2025, DeVonta Smith has gone over a balanced line of 53.5 receiving yards 8 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 66.7 receiving yards across those 16 games. Their last 5 average 76.0, 14% above their 66.7 over their last 16 games. They have gone over 53.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Philadelphia Eagles games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 16 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 25.5 receiving yards | 14 of 16 (88%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 48.5 receiving yards | 11 of 16 (69%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 53.5 receiving yards | 8 of 16 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 70.5 receiving yards | 5 of 16 (31%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 89.5 receiving yards | 2 of 16 (13%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for DeVonta Smith right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
DeVonta Smith has averaged 76.0 receiving yards over their last 5, 14% above their 66.7 across all 16 logged games.
DeVonta Smith's receiving yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 39.3 around 66.7. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 76.0 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 58.6 receiving yards |
| All 16 logged games | 66.7 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 183 |
| Worst in the log | 8 |
| Home (8 games) | 55.0 receiving yards |
| Away (8 games) | 78.4 receiving yards |
DeVonta Smith's highest in this log is 183 receiving yards against the Minnesota Vikings on 2025-10-19, and the lowest is 8 against the Detroit Lions on 2025-11-16. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 53.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 3 of 8 (38%) |
| On the road | 5 of 8 (63%) |
DeVonta Smith has cleared 53.5 receiving yards 25 points more often on the road, 38% in 8 home games against 63% in 8 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 75 |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears | Away | 65 |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 117 |
| 2026-09-13 | Washington Commanders | Home | 53 |
| 2026-01-11 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 70 |
| 2026-01-04 | Washington Commanders | Home | 52 |
| 2025-12-28 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 25 |
| 2025-12-20 | Washington Commanders | Away | 42 |
| 2025-12-14 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 50 |
| 2025-12-08 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 37 |
DeVonta Smith of the Philadelphia Eagles in receiving yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All DeVonta Smith props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
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Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.