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With no line posted, over 16 NFL games since October 2025, DeVonta Smith has gone over a balanced line of 53.5 receiving yards 8 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 66.7 receiving yards across those 16 games. Their last 5 average 76.0, 14% above their 66.7 over their last 16 games. They have gone over 53.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Philadelphia Eagles games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 16 | 66.7 receiving yards | Over 53.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| Receptions | 16 | 5.1 receptions | Over 5.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| Targets | 16 | 8.1 targets | Over 8.5 | 6 of 16 (38%) |
| Receiving TDs | 16 | 0.3 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 16 (31%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 16 | 5 of 16 (31%) | No line, yes or no | 31% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | Over 48.5 | 11 of 16 (69%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 53.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 70.5 | 5 of 16 (31%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 11 of 16 (69%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 5.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receptions | Over 6.5 | 4 of 16 (25%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Targets | Over 6.5 | 11 of 16 (69%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Targets | Over 8.5 | 6 of 16 (38%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Targets | Over 9.5 | 5 of 16 (31%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 16 (31%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for DeVonta Smith, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 75 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears | Away | 65 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans | Away | 117 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Washington Commanders | Home | 53 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | San Francisco 49ers | Home | 70 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Washington Commanders | Home | 52 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 25 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Washington Commanders | Away | 42 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
Counted from the same 16 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 8 |
| 25th percentile | 42 |
| Median | 53 |
| 75th percentile | 75 |
| Highest logged game | 183 |
9 of 16 games (56%) landed between 42 and 75; 9 (56%) finished at or above the 53 median, and the spread from 8 to 183 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score DeVonta Smith actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 3 | 78.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 38.5 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 53.5 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 49 | 53 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 56.5 | 65 |
Most-faced in this log is Washington Commanders, 3 games at 49, best of 53. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 53 median rather than a posted line, DeVonta Smith's longest run at or above it is 5 games and the run open at the newest of the 16 is 5. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
DeVonta Smith has gone over 53.5 receiving yards in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 55.0 over 8 games; away, 78.4 over 8.
DeVonta Smith receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeVonta Smith has gone over 5.5 receptions in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 4.4 over 8 games; away, 5.9 over 8.
DeVonta Smith receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeVonta Smith has gone over 8.5 targets in 6 of 16 logged games (38%).
At home they average 7.4 over 8 games; away, 8.9 over 8.
DeVonta Smith targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
DeVonta Smith has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 5 of 16 logged games (31%).
At home they average 0.1 over 8 games; away, 0.5 over 8.
DeVonta Smith has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 16 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 1 of 8 games; away, 4 of 8.
DeVonta Smith anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for DeVonta Smith of the Philadelphia Eagles. What follows is the record in Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for DeVonta Smith, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.