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Over 19 NFL games since October 2025, Ja'Marr Chase has gone over the posted 89.5 receiving yards 11 times (58%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 88.7 receiving yards across those 19 games. Their last 5 (92.4) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. Against the Pittsburgh Steelers in this log they have 3 games, averaging 96.3. These are measured box-score results from Cincinnati Bengals games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 8:20 PM ET, at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 19 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 receiving yards | 16 of 19 (84%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 62.5 receiving yards | 13 of 19 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 91.5 receiving yards | 10 of 19 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 109.5 receiving yards | 6 of 19 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 132.5 receiving yards | 3 of 19 (16%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Ja'Marr Chase right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 92.4 receiving yards over their last 5, against 88.7 across all 19 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 41.5 around 88.7. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 92.4 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 80.3 receiving yards |
| All 19 logged games | 88.7 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 161 |
| Worst in the log | 12 |
| Home (9 games) | 92.3 receiving yards |
| Away (10 games) | 85.4 receiving yards |
Ja'Marr Chase's highest in this log is 161 receiving yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers on 2025-10-16, and the lowest is 12 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on 2026-09-13. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 91.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 9 (56%) |
| On the road | 5 of 10 (50%) |
Ja'Marr Chase has cleared 91.5 receiving yards at much the same rate home and away, 56% against 50%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Ja'Marr Chase has 3 logged games against the Pittsburgh Steelers, averaging 96.3 receiving yards with a high of 161. Most recent first, those games read 98, 30, 161. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 155 |
| 2026-11-01 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 141 |
| 2026-10-25 | Baltimore Ravens | Away | 62 |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 77 |
| 2026-10-04 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 27 |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 98 |
| 2026-09-20 | Houston Texans | Away | 75 |
| 2026-09-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 12 |
| 2026-01-04 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 96 |
| 2025-12-28 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 60 |
Every receiving yards prop the books have posted for Ja'Marr Chase of the Cincinnati Bengals, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Ja'Marr Chase props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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