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With no line posted, over 17 NFL games since October 2025, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has gone over a balanced line of 32.5 rushing yards 9 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 44.8 rushing yards across those 17 games. Their last 5 (47.8) are in line with that, so there is no recent move to read into. These are measured box-score results from Washington Commanders games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Line | All 17 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 rushing yards | 15 of 17 (88%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 28.5 rushing yards | 12 of 17 (71%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 32.5 rushing yards | 9 of 17 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 43.5 rushing yards | 5 of 17 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 63.5 rushing yards | 3 of 17 (18%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Jacory Croskey-Merritt right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has averaged 47.8 rushing yards over their last 5, against 44.8 across all 17 logged games, no meaningful move either way.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rushing yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 26.2 around 44.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 47.8 rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 52.6 rushing yards |
| All 17 logged games | 44.8 rushing yards |
| Best in the log | 105 |
| Worst in the log | 15 |
| Home (9 games) | 45.8 rushing yards |
| Away (8 games) | 43.6 rushing yards |
Jacory Croskey-Merritt's highest in this log is 105 rushing yards against the Dallas Cowboys on 2025-12-25, and the lowest is 15 against the Indianapolis Colts on 2026-10-04. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 32.5 rushing yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 9 (56%) |
| On the road | 4 of 8 (50%) |
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has cleared 32.5 rushing yards at much the same rate home and away, 56% against 50%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | New York Giants | Home | 82 |
| 2026-10-04 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 15 |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 36 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | 43 |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 63 |
| 2026-01-04 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 29 |
| 2025-12-25 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 105 |
| 2025-12-20 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 25 |
| 2025-12-14 | New York Giants | Away | 96 |
| 2025-12-07 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 32 |
Jacory Croskey-Merritt of the Washington Commanders in rushing yards, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Jacory Croskey-Merritt props and hit rates · Every NFL rushing yards prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.