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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Javonte Williams has gone over the posted 60.5 rushing yards 10 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 69.2 rushing yards across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 79.6, 15% above their 69.2 over their last 20 games. These are measured box-score results from Dallas Cowboys games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the San Francisco 49ers. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | 20 | 16.4 carries | Over 15.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | 20 | 69.2 rushing yards | Over 59.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Receptions | 20 | 2.1 receptions | Over 1.5 | 12 of 20 (60%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | Over 12.5 | 15 of 20 (75%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 15.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 19.5 | 5 of 20 (25%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 41.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 59.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 87.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 12 of 20 (60%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 4 of 20 (20%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market Javonte Williams is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts | Rushing Yards | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 20 | 101 | 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 24 | 56 | 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | Philadelphia Eagles | Away | 25 | 155 | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | Green Bay Packers | Away | 11 | 41 | 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Home | 12 | 45 | 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | Houston Texans | Away | 19 | 62 | 5 |
| 2026-09-27 | Baltimore Ravens | Home | 19 | 98 | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Washington Commanders | Home | 12 | 30 | 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | New York Giants | Away | 12 | 41 | 5 |
| 2025-12-25 | Washington Commanders | Away | 13 | 54 | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 9 | 34 | 2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 15 | 91 | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Detroit Lions | Away | 17 | 67 | 2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 17 | 59 | 3 |
| 2025-11-23 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 20 | 87 | 2 |
| 2025-11-17 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | 22 | 93 | 1 |
Counted from the same 20 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 29 |
| 25th percentile | 41 |
| Median | 59 |
| 75th percentile | 91 |
| Highest logged game | 155 |
12 of 20 games (60%) landed between 41 and 91; 11 (55%) finished at or above the 59 median, and the spread from 29 to 155 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Javonte Williams actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 75.8 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 56.3 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 61.5 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 80.5 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 62 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 3 to 4 days | 3 | 52.7 |
| 5 or more days | 16 | 74.8 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 66.7 | 116 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 121 | 155 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 69.5 | 83 |
Most-faced in this log is Washington Commanders, 3 games at 66.7, best of 116. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 59 median rather than a posted line, Javonte Williams's longest run at or above it is 6 games and the run open at the newest of the 20 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 16.4 | 4.4 | steady | 20 |
| rushing yards | 69.2 | 32.3 | mixed | 20 |
| receptions | 2.1 | 1.6 | volatile | 20 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 3 markets measured here, averaging 16.4 with a spread of 4.4; their receptions swings most, 2.1 with a spread of 1.6. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Javonte Williams has gone over 15.5 carries in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 16.2 over 10 games; away, 16.5 over 10.
Javonte Williams rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Javonte Williams has gone over 59.5 rushing yards in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 69.9 over 10 games; away, 68.4 over 10.
Javonte Williams rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Javonte Williams has gone over 1.5 receptions in 12 of 20 logged games (60%).
At home they average 1.7 over 10 games; away, 2.5 over 10.
Javonte Williams receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Javonte Williams of the Dallas Cowboys. The books are currently pricing Rush Attempts, Rushing Yards and Receptions lines for Javonte Williams, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NFL price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Rush Attempts, Rushing Yards and Receptions. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NFL tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.