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Over 16 logged NFL games, Jeremy McNichols has gone over 8.5 receiving yards 8 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 12.3 receiving yards across those 16 games. Their last 5 average 9.4, 23% below their 12.3 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from Washington Commanders games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 16 | 13.8 rushing yards | Over 5.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| Rush Attempts | 16 | 2.8 carries | Over 1.5 | 9 of 16 (56%) |
| Receiving Yards | 16 | 12.3 receiving yards | Over 8.5 | 8 of 16 (50%) |
| Receptions | 16 | 1.6 receptions | Over 1.5 | 7 of 16 (44%) |
| Targets | 16 | 1.9 targets | Over 1.5 | 9 of 16 (56%) |
Every market Jeremy McNichols is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Philadelphia Eagles | — | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-25 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | -2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 3 |
| 2025-12-20 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 3 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 3 |
| 2025-12-14 | New York Giants | Home | 6 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-01 | Denver Broncos | Away | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 13 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Detroit Lions | Home | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Counted from the same 16 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 8 |
| 75th percentile | 16 |
| Highest logged game | 64 |
13 of 16 games (81%) landed between 0 and 16; 9 (56%) finished at or above the 8 median, and the spread from 0 to 64 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Jeremy McNichols actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| December 2025 | 5 | 7.8 |
| November 2025 | 3 | 6.7 |
| October 2025 | 4 | 32.3 |
| September 2025 | 3 | 0 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 17.5 | 23 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 8.5 | 9 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 8 | 16 |
Most-faced in this log is Dallas Cowboys, 2 games at 17.5, best of 23. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 8 median rather than a posted line, Jeremy McNichols's longest run at or above it is 4 games and the run open at the newest of the 16 is 4. Whether the bigger games cluster — not when the next one is.
Jeremy McNichols has gone over 5.5 rushing yards in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 20.3 over 7 games; away, 9.5 over 8.
Jeremy McNichols rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jeremy McNichols has gone over 1.5 carries in 9 of 16 logged games (56%).
At home they average 3.7 over 7 games; away, 2.1 over 8.
Jeremy McNichols rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jeremy McNichols has gone over 8.5 receiving yards in 8 of 16 logged games (50%).
At home they average 8.4 over 7 games; away, 16.1 over 8.
Jeremy McNichols receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jeremy McNichols has gone over 1.5 receptions in 7 of 16 logged games (44%).
At home they average 1.0 over 7 games; away, 2.1 over 8.
Jeremy McNichols receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jeremy McNichols has gone over 1.5 targets in 9 of 16 logged games (56%).
At home they average 1.3 over 7 games; away, 2.6 over 8.
Jeremy McNichols targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Jeremy McNichols of the Washington Commanders. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions and Targets: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.