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With no line posted, over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Josh Downs has gone over a balanced line of 0.5 carries 3 times (15%), and over their last 10 they have done it twice (20%). They average 0.1 carries across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 0.2, 33% above their 0.1 over their last 20 games. They have gone under 0.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Indianapolis Colts games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the Miami Dolphins. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | 20 | 0.1 carries | Over 0.5 | 3 of 20 (15%) |
| Receiving Yards | 20 | 37.3 receiving yards | Over 37.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Receptions | 20 | 3.5 receptions | Over 3.5 | 9 of 20 (45%) |
| Targets | 20 | 5.9 targets | Over 5.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) |
| Receiving TDs | 20 | 0.3 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 20 (25%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 20 | 5 of 20 (25%) | No line, yes or no | 25% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Attempts | Over 0.5 | 3 of 20 (15%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 18.5 | 15 of 20 (75%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 37.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 44.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 9 of 20 (45%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receptions | Over 4.5 | 5 of 20 (25%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Targets | Over 4.5 | 14 of 20 (70%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Targets | Over 5.5 | 10 of 20 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Targets | Over 6.5 | 6 of 20 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 20 (25%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
Every market measured for Josh Downs, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Dallas Cowboys | Home | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 0 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 1 | 40 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 0 | 47 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Washington Commanders | Away | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Texans | Home | 0 | 77 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 0 | 72 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 20 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| 75th percentile | 0 |
| Highest logged game | 1 |
17 of 20 games (85%) landed between 0 and 0; 20 (100%) finished at or above the 0 median, and the spread from 0 to 1 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Josh Downs actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 0.3 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 0 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 0.3 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 0 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | 3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Most-faced in this log is Houston Texans, 3 games at 0.3, best of 1. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Josh Downs has gone over 0.5 carries in 3 of 20 logged games (15%).
At home they average 0.2 over 10 games; away, 0.1 over 10.
Josh Downs has gone over 37.5 receiving yards in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 40.5 over 10 games; away, 34.0 over 10.
Josh Downs receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Josh Downs has gone over 3.5 receptions in 9 of 20 logged games (45%).
At home they average 3.3 over 10 games; away, 3.8 over 10.
Josh Downs receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Josh Downs has gone over 5.5 targets in 10 of 20 logged games (50%).
At home they average 6.1 over 10 games; away, 5.7 over 10.
Josh Downs targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Josh Downs has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 5 of 20 logged games (25%).
At home they average 0.2 over 10 games; away, 0.3 over 10.
Josh Downs has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 20 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 2 of 10 games; away, 3 of 10.
Josh Downs anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Josh Downs of the Indianapolis Colts. What follows is the record in Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Josh Downs, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.