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Over 21 NFL games since October 2025, Josh Allen has gone over the posted 6.5 carries 11 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 7.4 carries across those 21 games. Their last 5 average 6.6, 11% below their 7.4 over their last 21 games. These are measured box-score results from Buffalo Bills games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the New York Jets. Last logged game November 9, 6 days before.
| Line | All 21 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 carries | 19 of 21 (90%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 5.5 carries | 16 of 21 (76%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 6.5 carries | 11 of 21 (52%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 8.5 carries | 6 of 21 (29%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 10.5 carries | 4 of 21 (19%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Josh Allen right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Josh Allen has averaged 6.6 carries over their last 5, 11% below their 7.4 across all 21 logged games.
Josh Allen's rush attempts vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.8 around 7.4. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 6.6 carries |
| Last 10 games | 8.4 carries |
| All 21 logged games | 7.4 carries |
| Best in the log | 14 |
| Worst in the log | 3 |
| Home (8 games) | 7.8 carries |
| Away (13 games) | 7.2 carries |
Josh Allen's highest in this log is 14 carries against the Detroit Lions on 2026-09-17, and the lowest is 3 against the Carolina Panthers on 2025-10-26. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 6.5 carries |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 8 (63%) |
| On the road | 6 of 13 (46%) |
Josh Allen has cleared 6.5 carries 17 points more often at home, 63% in 8 home games against 46% in 13 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Baltimore Ravens | Home | 7 |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams | Away | 10 |
| 2026-10-04 | New England Patriots | Home | 5 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 8 |
| 2026-09-17 | Detroit Lions | Home | 14 |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans | Away | 6 |
| 2026-01-17 | Denver Broncos | Away | 12 |
| 2026-01-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 11 |
Every rush attempts prop the books have posted for Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Josh Allen props and hit rates · Every NFL rush attempts prop
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