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With no line posted, over 23 NFL games since October 2025, Kenneth Walker III has gone over a balanced line of 3.5 targets 10 times (43%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 3.3 targets across those 23 games. Their last 5 average 3.6, 10% above their 3.3 over their last 23 games. They have gone over 3.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Kansas City Chiefs games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Atlanta Falcons. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Line | All 23 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 targets | 18 of 23 (78%) | 9 of 10 (90%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 2.5 targets | 15 of 23 (65%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 3.5 targets | 10 of 23 (43%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 4.5 targets | 4 of 23 (17%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 5.5 targets | 2 of 23 (9%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Kenneth Walker III right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Kenneth Walker III has averaged 3.6 targets over their last 5, 10% above their 3.3 across all 23 logged games.
Kenneth Walker III's targets vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.1 around 3.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3.6 targets |
| Last 10 games | 4.4 targets |
| All 23 logged games | 3.3 targets |
| Best in the log | 10 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (11 games) | 3.5 targets |
| Away (12 games) | 3.0 targets |
Kenneth Walker III's highest in this log is 10 targets against the Indianapolis Colts on 2026-09-20, and the lowest is 0 against the Houston Texans on 2025-10-20. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 3.5 targets |
|---|---|
| At home | 5 of 11 (45%) |
| On the road | 5 of 12 (42%) |
Kenneth Walker III has cleared 3.5 targets at much the same rate home and away, 45% against 42%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Kenneth Walker III has 1 logged game against the Atlanta Falcons, averaging 3.0 targets with a high of 3. Most recent first, those games read 3. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | New York Jets | Home | 4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Denver Broncos | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-25 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 5 |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 10 |
| 2026-09-14 | Denver Broncos | Home | 6 |
| 2026-02-08 | New England Patriots | Away | 4 |
| 2026-01-25 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 4 |
Kenneth Walker III of the Kansas City Chiefs in targets, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Kenneth Walker III props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.