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With no line posted, over 23 NFL games since October 2025, Kenneth Walker III has gone over a balanced line of 67.5 rushing yards 12 times (52%), and over their last 10 they have done it 8 times (80%). They average 81.8 rushing yards across those 23 games. Their last 5 average 102.4, 25% above their 81.8 over their last 23 games. These are measured box-score results from Kansas City Chiefs games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Atlanta Falcons. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 23 | 81.8 rushing yards | Over 67.5 | 12 of 23 (52%) |
| Rushing TDs | 23 | 0.6 rushing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 9 of 23 (39%) |
| Rush Attempts | 23 | 16.4 carries | Over 16.5 | 11 of 23 (48%) |
| Receiving Yards | 23 | 21.7 receiving yards | Over 18.5 | 11 of 23 (48%) |
| Receptions | 23 | 2.6 receptions | Over 2.5 | 12 of 23 (52%) |
| Targets | 23 | 3.3 targets | Over 3.5 | 10 of 23 (43%) |
| Receiving TDs | 23 | 0.2 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 3 of 23 (13%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 23 | 9 of 23 (39%) | No line, yes or no | 39% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 56.5 | 16 of 23 (70%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 67.5 | 12 of 23 (52%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 100.5 | 7 of 23 (30%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rushing TDs | Over 0.5 | 9 of 23 (39%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rushing TDs | Over 1.5 | 3 of 23 (13%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 13.5 | 16 of 23 (70%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 16.5 | 11 of 23 (48%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 18.5 | 8 of 23 (35%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 3.5 | 16 of 23 (70%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 18.5 | 11 of 23 (48%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 29.5 | 7 of 23 (30%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 17 of 23 (74%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 12 of 23 (52%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 6 of 23 (26%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 15 of 23 (65%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Targets | Over 3.5 | 10 of 23 (43%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Targets | Over 4.5 | 4 of 23 (17%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 3 of 23 (13%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
Every market measured for Kenneth Walker III, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | New York Jets | Home | 102 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Denver Broncos | Away | 69 | 0 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Seattle Seahawks | Away | 36 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 128 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders | Away | 177 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 70 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Indianapolis Colts | Home | 117 | 0 | 24 | 61 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Denver Broncos | Home | 173 | 1 | 23 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Receiving Yards | 1 | -1.0 | -1 | 21.7 |
| Receptions | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Rush Attempts | 1 | 10.0 | 10 | 16.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Rushing Yards | 1 | 29.0 | 29 | 81.8 |
| Targets | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 3.3 |
Counted from the same 23 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 17 |
| 25th percentile | 51 |
| Median | 69 |
| 75th percentile | 116 |
| Highest logged game | 177 |
13 of 23 games (57%) landed between 51 and 116; 12 (52%) finished at or above the 69 median, and the spread from 17 to 177 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Kenneth Walker III actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 3 | 113.7 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 120 |
| January 2026 | 3 | 91.7 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 49.3 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 60.6 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 76.3 | 100 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 121 | 173 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 106.5 | 116 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 67 | 117 |
Most-faced in this log is Los Angeles Rams, 3 games at 76.3, best of 100. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 69 median rather than a posted line, Kenneth Walker III's longest run at or above it is 6 games and the run open at the newest of the 23 is 2. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 16.4 | 4.9 | steady | 23 |
| rushing yards | 81.8 | 42.6 | mixed | 23 |
| receptions | 2.6 | 1.4 | mixed | 23 |
| targets | 3.3 | 2.1 | mixed | 23 |
| receiving yards | 21.7 | 19.3 | volatile | 23 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 16.4 with a spread of 4.9; their receiving yards swings most, 21.7 with a spread of 19.3. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 67.5 rushing yards in 12 of 23 logged games (52%).
At home they average 91.3 over 11 games; away, 73.2 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 0.5 rushing touchdowns in 9 of 23 logged games (39%).
At home they average 0.8 over 11 games; away, 0.3 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III rushing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 16.5 carries in 11 of 23 logged games (48%).
At home they average 16.9 over 11 games; away, 15.9 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 18.5 receiving yards in 11 of 23 logged games (48%).
At home they average 26.9 over 11 games; away, 17.0 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 2.5 receptions in 12 of 23 logged games (52%).
At home they average 2.7 over 11 games; away, 2.4 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 3.5 targets in 10 of 23 logged games (43%).
At home they average 3.5 over 11 games; away, 3.0 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Kenneth Walker III has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 3 of 23 logged games (13%).
At home they average 0.3 over 11 games; away, 0.1 over 12.
Kenneth Walker III has a anytime touchdown in 9 of 23 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 6 of 11 games; away, 3 of 12.
Kenneth Walker III anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Kenneth Walker III of the Kansas City Chiefs. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rushing TDs, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Kenneth Walker III, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.