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Over 12 logged NFL games, Marcus Mariota has gone over 21.5 pass attempts 6 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 22.8 pass attempts across those 12 games. Their last 5 average 16.8, 26% below their 22.8 across the full log. These are measured box-score results from Washington Commanders games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Line | All 12 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 pass attempts | 10 of 12 (83%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 4 of 5 (80%) |
| Over 16.5 pass attempts | 8 of 12 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 21.5 pass attempts | 6 of 12 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 27.5 pass attempts | 4 of 12 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 30.5 pass attempts | 2 of 12 (17%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Marcus Mariota right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Marcus Mariota has averaged 16.8 pass attempts over their last 5, 26% below their 22.8 across all 12 logged games.
Marcus Mariota's pass attempts varies moderately, a standard deviation of 11.5 around 22.8. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 16.8 pass attempts |
| Last 10 games | 22.6 pass attempts |
| All 12 logged games | 22.8 pass attempts |
| Best in the log | 50 |
| Worst in the log | 4 |
| Home (5 games) | 21.4 pass attempts |
| Away (7 games) | 23.9 pass attempts |
Marcus Mariota's highest in this log is 50 pass attempts against the Denver Broncos on 2025-12-01, and the lowest is 4 against the Minnesota Vikings on 2025-12-07. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 21.5 pass attempts |
|---|---|
| At home | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| On the road | 4 of 7 (57%) |
Marcus Mariota has cleared 21.5 pass attempts 17 points more often on the road, 40% in 5 home games against 57% in 7 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 31 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | 16 |
| 2025-12-20 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home | 14 |
| 2025-12-14 | New York Giants | Home | 19 |
| 2025-12-07 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Denver Broncos | Away | 50 |
| 2025-11-16 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 30 |
| 2025-11-09 | Detroit Lions | Home | 22 |
| 2025-10-28 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 30 |
| 2025-10-19 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | 10 |
Every pass attempts prop the books have posted for Marcus Mariota of the Washington Commanders, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
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All Marcus Mariota props and hit rates · Every NFL pass attempts prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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