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With no line posted, over 18 NFL games since October 2025, Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over a balanced line of 2.5 targets 11 times (61%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 3.3 targets across those 18 games. Their last 5 average 2.6, 22% below their 3.3 over their last 18 games. These are measured box-score results from Denver Broncos games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Line | All 18 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 targets | 15 of 18 (83%) | 10 of 10 (100%) | 5 of 5 (100%) |
| Over 2.5 targets | 11 of 18 (61%) | 7 of 10 (70%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 3.5 targets | 6 of 18 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 4.5 targets | 4 of 18 (22%) | 2 of 10 (20%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
| Over 6.5 targets | 2 of 18 (11%) | 1 of 10 (10%) | 0 of 5 (0%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Marvin Mims Jr. right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Marvin Mims Jr. has averaged 2.6 targets over their last 5, 22% below their 3.3 across all 18 logged games.
Marvin Mims Jr.'s targets vary moderately, a standard deviation of 2.1 around 3.3. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2.6 targets |
| Last 10 games | 3.7 targets |
| All 18 logged games | 3.3 targets |
| Best in the log | 8 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (10 games) | 4.1 targets |
| Away (8 games) | 2.4 targets |
Marvin Mims Jr.'s highest in this log is 8 targets against the Buffalo Bills on 2026-01-17, and the lowest is 0 against the Kansas City Chiefs on 2025-11-16. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 2.5 targets |
|---|---|
| At home | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| On the road | 3 of 8 (38%) |
Marvin Mims Jr. has cleared 2.5 targets 42 points more often at home, 80% in 10 home games against 38% in 8 away.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
Marvin Mims Jr. has 1 logged game against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging 1.0 targets with a high of 1. Most recent first, those games read 1. A handful of meetings is a very small sample and is shown for context rather than as a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 3 |
| 2026-01-25 | New England Patriots | Home | 6 |
| 2026-01-17 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 8 |
| 2026-01-04 | Los Angeles Chargers | Home | 3 |
| 2025-12-25 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 4 |
Marvin Mims Jr. of the Denver Broncos in targets, measured from official NFL box scores rather than from anybody's projection. The table above is their hit rate at every threshold their own distribution supports, over three nested windows, each with its own denominator. Below it are the games themselves. No line or price is printed on this page; when the board carries one, it loads live above this text and this history is what it will be measured against.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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None is printed on this page, which is why this page shows thresholds drawn from their own game log instead. Those are facts about games already played and they do not go stale; a line does, which is why one is never printed into a cached page here.
The table above answers that at every threshold their log supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, so a recent run and a full record can be read side by side rather than confused for each other.
Official box scores, one row per game played, loaded four times a day and rebuilt into this page daily. Games the player missed are absent rather than counted as zero, so the averages describe games they were actually in.
All Marvin Mims Jr. props and hit rates
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.