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With no line posted, over 18 NFL games since October 2025, Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over a balanced line of 2.5 rushing yards 9 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 4.6 rushing yards across those 18 games. Their last 5 average 6.0, 30% above their 4.6 over their last 18 games. They have gone over 2.5 in each of their last 3. These are measured box-score results from Denver Broncos games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 4:25 PM ET, at home against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 18 | 4.6 rushing yards | Over 2.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) |
| Rush Attempts | 18 | 0.8 carries | Over 0.5 | 12 of 18 (67%) |
| Receiving Yards | 18 | 25.0 receiving yards | Over 10.5 | 8 of 18 (44%) |
| Receptions | 18 | 2.5 receptions | Over 2.5 | 6 of 18 (33%) |
| Targets | 18 | 3.3 targets | Over 2.5 | 11 of 18 (61%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 0.5 | 11 of 18 (61%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 2.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 5.5 | 5 of 18 (28%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 0.5 | 12 of 18 (67%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 1.5 | 2 of 18 (11%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 2.5 | 1 of 18 (6%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 6.5 | 13 of 18 (72%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 10.5 | 8 of 18 (44%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 29.5 | 5 of 18 (28%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 13 of 18 (72%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 6 of 18 (33%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 4 of 18 (22%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 11 of 18 (61%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Targets | Over 3.5 | 6 of 18 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Targets | Over 4.5 | 4 of 18 (22%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Every market measured for Marvin Mims Jr., on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | Kansas City Chiefs | Home | 19 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | 3 | 1 | 53 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Seahawks | Home | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 4 |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers | Away | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers | Away | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-01-25 | New England Patriots | Home | 0 | 0 | 62 | 4 | 6 |
| 2026-01-17 | Buffalo Bills | Home | 0 | 0 | 93 | 8 | 8 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 1 | 5.0 | 5 | 25.0 |
| Receptions | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Rush Attempts | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.8 |
| Rushing Yards | 1 | 2.0 | 2 | 4.6 |
| Targets | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.3 |
Counted from the same 18 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | -2 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 2 |
| 75th percentile | 8 |
| Highest logged game | 19 |
13 of 18 games (72%) landed between 0 and 8; 11 (61%) finished at or above the 2 median, and the spread from -2 to 19 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Marvin Mims Jr. actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 1.5 |
| January 2026 | 3 | 0 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 3.3 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 9.7 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 1.5 | 3 |
Most-faced in this log is Kansas City Chiefs, 3 games at 7, best of 19. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 2 median rather than a posted line, Marvin Mims Jr.'s longest run at or above it is 7 games and the run open at the newest of the 18 is 3. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| targets | 3.3 | 2.1 | mixed | 18 |
| receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | volatile | 18 |
| receiving yards | 25.0 | 28.3 | volatile | 18 |
| rushing yards | 4.6 | 6.1 | volatile | 18 |
Their targets is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 3.3 with a spread of 2.1; their rushing yards swings most, 4.6 with a spread of 6.1. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 2.5 rushing yards in 9 of 18 logged games (50%).
At home they average 6.3 over 10 games; away, 2.5 over 8.
Marvin Mims Jr. rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 0.5 carries in 12 of 18 logged games (67%).
At home they average 0.9 over 10 games; away, 0.8 over 8.
Marvin Mims Jr. rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 10.5 receiving yards in 8 of 18 logged games (44%).
At home they average 32.8 over 10 games; away, 15.3 over 8.
Marvin Mims Jr. receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 2.5 receptions in 6 of 18 logged games (33%).
At home they average 3.1 over 10 games; away, 1.8 over 8.
Marvin Mims Jr. receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 2.5 targets in 11 of 18 logged games (61%).
At home they average 4.1 over 10 games; away, 2.4 over 8.
Marvin Mims Jr. targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Marvin Mims Jr. of the Denver Broncos. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions and Targets: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Marvin Mims Jr., it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.