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Over 15 logged NFL games, Sterling Shepard has gone over 14.5 receiving yards 8 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 4 times (40%). They average 24.9 receiving yards across those 15 games. Their last 5 average 5.0, 80% below their 24.9 across the full log. They have gone under 14.5 in each of their last 5. These are measured box-score results from New York Jets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether tonight’s price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 15 | 1.3 rushing yards | Over 0.5 | 3 of 15 (20%) |
| Rush Attempts | 15 | 0.3 carries | Over 0.5 | 4 of 15 (27%) |
| Receiving Yards | 15 | 24.9 receiving yards | Over 14.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Receptions | 15 | 2.7 receptions | Over 2.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Targets | 15 | 3.7 targets | Over 3.5 | 9 of 15 (60%) |
Every market Sterling Shepard is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Chicago Bears | Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions | Away | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-07 | New Orleans Saints | Home | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Arizona Cardinals | Home | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| 2025-11-24 | Los Angeles Rams | Home | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 5 |
| 2025-11-16 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 7 | 1 | 54 | 4 | 5 |
| 2025-11-09 | New England Patriots | Away | 11 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 4 |
| 2025-10-26 | New Orleans Saints | Away | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
Counted from the same 15 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 5 |
| Median | 20 |
| 75th percentile | 39 |
| Highest logged game | 80 |
10 of 15 games (67%) landed between 5 and 39; 8 (53%) finished at or above the 20 median, and the spread from 0 to 80 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Sterling Shepard actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2025 | 4 | 22.8 |
| October 2025 | 4 | 27 |
| September 2025 | 4 | 41.8 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 14 | 25 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 6.5 | 8 |
Most-faced in this log is Detroit Lions, 2 games at 14, best of 25. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 20 median rather than a posted line, Sterling Shepard's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 15 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster — not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| targets | 3.7 | 1.8 | mixed | 15 |
| receptions | 2.7 | 1.7 | mixed | 15 |
| receiving yards | 24.9 | 22.1 | volatile | 15 |
| rushing yards | 1.3 | 3.7 | volatile | 15 |
Their targets is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 3.7 with a spread of 1.8; their rushing yards swings most, 1.3 with a spread of 3.7. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Sterling Shepard has gone over 0.5 rushing yards in 3 of 15 logged games (20%).
At home they average 1.0 over 6 games; away, 1.4 over 9.
Sterling Shepard rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sterling Shepard has gone over 0.5 carries in 4 of 15 logged games (27%).
At home they average 0.2 over 6 games; away, 0.3 over 9.
Sterling Shepard has gone over 14.5 receiving yards in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 27.8 over 6 games; away, 23.0 over 9.
Sterling Shepard receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sterling Shepard has gone over 2.5 receptions in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 2.2 over 6 games; away, 3.0 over 9.
Sterling Shepard receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Sterling Shepard has gone over 3.5 targets in 9 of 15 logged games (60%).
At home they average 3.3 over 6 games; away, 3.9 over 9.
Sterling Shepard targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Sterling Shepard of the New York Jets. Nothing is priced right now, so what follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions and Targets: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price — when the books post this market again the live board appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Hit rates against the live board are shrunk toward a league prior in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. No locks and no guaranteed wins. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Not while the NFL board is down. This page keeps the measured history in the meantime and the live board reappears at the top of it the morning after the books post this market — the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price because no price is posted. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.