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With no line posted, over 15 NFL games since October 2025, Isaiah Davis has gone over a balanced line of 10.5 rushing yards 7 times (47%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 16.5 rushing yards across those 15 games. Their last 5 average 11.0, 33% below their 16.5 over their last 15 games. These are measured box-score results from New York Jets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the Buffalo Bills. Last logged game November 1, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 15 | 16.5 rushing yards | Over 10.5 | 7 of 15 (47%) |
| Rush Attempts | 15 | 3.5 carries | Over 2.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Receiving Yards | 15 | 13.5 receiving yards | Over 1.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) |
| Receptions | 15 | 1.3 receptions | Over 0.5 | 10 of 15 (67%) |
| Targets | 15 | 1.7 targets | Over 1.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 7.5 | 11 of 15 (73%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 10.5 | 7 of 15 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 11.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 1.5 | 13 of 15 (87%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 2.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 3.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 0.5 | 9 of 15 (60%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 1.5 | 8 of 15 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 9.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 0.5 | 10 of 15 (67%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 4 of 15 (27%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 3 of 15 (20%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Targets | Over 0.5 | 12 of 15 (80%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Targets | Over 1.5 | 5 of 15 (33%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 4 of 15 (27%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
Every market measured for Isaiah Davis, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 5 | 1 | 49 | 3 | 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | New England Patriots | Away | 16 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| 2025-12-28 | New England Patriots | Home | 11 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-21 | New Orleans Saints | Away | 8 | 3 | 52 | 4 | 4 |
| 2025-12-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Away | 58 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Counted from the same 15 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 7 |
| Median | 10 |
| 75th percentile | 16 |
| Highest logged game | 65 |
9 of 15 games (60%) landed between 7 and 16; 9 (60%) finished at or above the 10 median, and the spread from 0 to 65 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Isaiah Davis actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 3 | 9.7 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 24.8 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 7 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 25.7 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 3 | 12.7 | 16 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 13.5 | 22 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 9 | 10 |
Most-faced in this log is New England Patriots, 3 games at 12.7, best of 16. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 10 median rather than a posted line, Isaiah Davis's longest run at or above it is 4 games and the run open at the newest of the 15 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| rush attempts | 3.5 | 2.4 | mixed | 15 |
| targets | 1.7 | 1.5 | volatile | 15 |
| rushing yards | 16.5 | 18.4 | volatile | 15 |
| receptions | 1.3 | 1.5 | volatile | 15 |
| receiving yards | 13.5 | 18.5 | volatile | 15 |
Their rush attempts is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 3.5 with a spread of 2.4; their receiving yards swings most, 13.5 with a spread of 18.5. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Isaiah Davis has gone over 10.5 rushing yards in 7 of 15 logged games (47%).
At home they average 9.2 over 9 games; away, 27.5 over 6.
Isaiah Davis rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Isaiah Davis has gone over 2.5 carries in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 2.2 over 9 games; away, 5.3 over 6.
Isaiah Davis rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Isaiah Davis has gone over 1.5 receiving yards in 8 of 15 logged games (53%).
At home they average 9.9 over 9 games; away, 18.8 over 6.
Isaiah Davis receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Isaiah Davis has gone over 0.5 receptions in 10 of 15 logged games (67%).
At home they average 1.0 over 9 games; away, 1.8 over 6.
Isaiah Davis receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Isaiah Davis has gone over 1.5 targets in 5 of 15 logged games (33%).
At home they average 1.4 over 9 games; away, 2.0 over 6.
Isaiah Davis targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Isaiah Davis of the New York Jets. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions and Targets: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Isaiah Davis, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.