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With no line posted, over 19 NFL games since October 2025, Geno Smith has gone over a balanced line of 182.5 passing yards 10 times (53%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 206.7 passing yards across those 19 games. Their last 5 average 235.2, 14% above their 206.7 over their last 19 games. These are measured box-score results from New York Jets games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET, at home against the Buffalo Bills. Last logged game November 8, 7 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 19 | 206.7 passing yards | Over 182.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Passing TDs | 19 | 1.3 passing touchdowns | Over 1.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) |
| Completions | 19 | 19.9 completions | Over 18.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Pass Attempts | 19 | 29.3 pass attempts | Over 28.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Interceptions | 19 | 0.6 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Rushing Yards | 19 | 4.7 rushing yards | Over 4.5 | 9 of 19 (47%) |
| Rush Attempts | 19 | 2.6 carries | Over 2.5 | 8 of 19 (42%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 165.5 | 13 of 19 (68%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 182.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 247.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 15 of 19 (79%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 2.5 | 3 of 19 (16%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Completions | Over 16.5 | 14 of 19 (74%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Completions | Over 18.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Completions | Over 20.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 23.5 | 13 of 19 (68%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 28.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 32.5 | 5 of 19 (26%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Interceptions | Over 1.5 | 1 of 19 (5%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 0.5 | 13 of 19 (68%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 4.5 | 9 of 19 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 7.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 1.5 | 13 of 19 (68%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
Every market measured for Geno Smith, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | Pass Attempts | Interceptions | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Kansas City Chiefs | Away | 165 | 0 | 18 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Las Vegas Raiders | Home | 290 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Miami Dolphins | Home | 287 | 3 | 23 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | New England Patriots | Away | 252 | 1 | 20 | 30 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 182 | 1 | 17 | 30 | 0 | 7 | 5 |
| 2026-10-04 | Chicago Bears | Away | 119 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions | Away | 321 | 3 | 31 | 37 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 247 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 0 | 17 | 5 |
Counted from the same 19 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 67 |
| 25th percentile | 165 |
| Median | 201 |
| 75th percentile | 284 |
| Highest logged game | 321 |
11 of 19 games (58%) landed between 165 and 284; 10 (53%) finished at or above the 201 median, and the spread from 67 to 321 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Geno Smith actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 210 |
| September 2026 | 3 | 261 |
| December 2025 | 3 | 164.3 |
| November 2025 | 5 | 223 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 233.5 | 285 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 194.5 | 215 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 129.5 | 143 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 116 | 165 |
Most-faced in this log is Cleveland Browns, 2 games at 233.5, best of 285. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 201 median rather than a posted line, Geno Smith's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 19 is 0. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 29.3 | 8.3 | steady | 19 |
| completions | 19.9 | 6.3 | steady | 19 |
| passing yards | 206.7 | 68.4 | steady | 19 |
| rush attempts | 2.6 | 1.8 | mixed | 19 |
| passing TDs | 1.3 | 1.1 | volatile | 19 |
| rushing yards | 4.7 | 5.8 | volatile | 19 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 6 markets measured here, averaging 29.3 with a spread of 8.3; their rushing yards swings most, 4.7 with a spread of 5.8. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Geno Smith has gone over 182.5 passing yards in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 227.9 over 10 games; away, 183.1 over 9.
Geno Smith passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Geno Smith has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 6 of 19 logged games (32%).
At home they average 1.6 over 10 games; away, 1.0 over 9.
Geno Smith passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Geno Smith has gone over 18.5 completions in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 22.3 over 10 games; away, 17.3 over 9.
Geno Smith completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Geno Smith has gone over 28.5 pass attempts in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 33.0 over 10 games; away, 25.1 over 9.
Geno Smith pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Geno Smith has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 0.7 over 10 games; away, 0.4 over 9.
Geno Smith interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Geno Smith has gone over 4.5 rushing yards in 9 of 19 logged games (47%).
At home they average 6.1 over 10 games; away, 3.1 over 9.
Geno Smith rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Geno Smith has gone over 2.5 carries in 8 of 19 logged games (42%).
At home they average 3.1 over 10 games; away, 2.0 over 9.
Geno Smith rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Geno Smith of the New York Jets. What follows is the record in Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Completions, Pass Attempts, Interceptions, Rushing Yards and Rush Attempts: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Geno Smith, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.