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With no line posted, over 19 NFL games since October 2025, Tez Johnson has gone over a balanced line of 0.5 rushing yards 4 times (21%), and over their last 10 they have done it 3 times (30%). They average 1.9 rushing yards across those 19 games. Their last 5 average 4.8, 146% above their 1.9 over their last 19 games. These are measured box-score results from Tampa Bay Buccaneers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Detroit Lions. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 19 | 1.9 rushing yards | Over 0.5 | 4 of 19 (21%) |
| Rush Attempts | 19 | 0.5 carries | Over 0.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) |
| Receiving Yards | 19 | 26.8 receiving yards | Over 17.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) |
| Receptions | 19 | 1.8 receptions | Over 1.5 | 9 of 19 (47%) |
| Targets | 19 | 3.0 targets | Over 2.5 | 9 of 19 (47%) |
| Receiving TDs | 19 | 0.3 receiving touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 5 of 19 (26%) |
| Anytime Touchdown | 19 | 5 of 19 (26%) | No line, yes or no | 26% |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | Over 0.5 | 4 of 19 (21%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 1.5 | 4 of 19 (21%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 2.5 | 4 of 19 (21%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 0.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 1.5 | 2 of 19 (11%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 2.5 | 1 of 19 (5%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 7.5 | 13 of 19 (68%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 17.5 | 10 of 19 (53%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 42.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Receptions | Over 0.5 | 17 of 19 (89%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 9 of 19 (47%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 4 of 19 (21%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Targets | Over 1.5 | 14 of 19 (74%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Targets | Over 2.5 | 9 of 19 (47%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Targets | Over 3.5 | 6 of 19 (32%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 0.5 | 5 of 19 (26%) | 1 of 10 (10%) |
| Receiving TDs | Over 1.5 | 1 of 19 (5%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
Every market measured for Tez Johnson, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Targets | Receiving TDs | Anytime Touchdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Chicago Bears | Away | 0 | 0 | 76 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 14 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Home | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | 0 | 0 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Green Bay Packers | Home | 10 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | -4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Receiving Yards | 1 | 58.0 | 58 | 26.8 |
| Receptions | 1 | 4.0 | 4 | 1.8 |
| Rush Attempts | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.9 |
| Targets | 1 | 9.0 | 9 | 3.0 |
Counted from the same 19 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | -4 |
| 25th percentile | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| 75th percentile | 0 |
| Highest logged game | 14 |
14 of 19 games (74%) landed between 0 and 0; 18 (95%) finished at or above the 0 median, and the spread from -4 to 14 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Tez Johnson actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4 | 6 |
| September 2026 | 3 | -1.3 |
| December 2025 | 3 | 0 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 3 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 0 |
Against their own 0 median rather than a posted line, Tez Johnson's longest run at or above it is 11 games and the run open at the newest of the 19 is 7. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| targets | 3.0 | 2.1 | mixed | 19 |
| receptions | 1.8 | 1.3 | volatile | 19 |
| receiving yards | 26.8 | 23.3 | volatile | 19 |
| rushing yards | 1.9 | 4.6 | volatile | 19 |
Their targets is the steadiest of the 4 markets measured here, averaging 3.0 with a spread of 2.1; their rushing yards swings most, 1.9 with a spread of 4.6. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Tez Johnson has gone over 0.5 rushing yards in 4 of 19 logged games (21%).
At home they average 1.7 over 9 games; away, 2.2 over 10.
Tez Johnson rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Tez Johnson has gone over 0.5 carries in 6 of 19 logged games (32%).
At home they average 0.2 over 9 games; away, 0.7 over 10.
Tez Johnson rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Tez Johnson has gone over 17.5 receiving yards in 10 of 19 logged games (53%).
At home they average 21.1 over 9 games; away, 31.9 over 10.
Tez Johnson receiving yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Tez Johnson has gone over 1.5 receptions in 9 of 19 logged games (47%).
At home they average 1.4 over 9 games; away, 2.1 over 10.
Tez Johnson receptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Tez Johnson has gone over 2.5 targets in 9 of 19 logged games (47%).
At home they average 2.6 over 9 games; away, 3.4 over 10.
Tez Johnson targets: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Tez Johnson has gone over 0.5 receiving touchdowns in 5 of 19 logged games (26%).
At home they average 0.3 over 9 games; away, 0.3 over 10.
Tez Johnson receiving TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Tez Johnson has a anytime touchdown in 5 of 19 logged games.
At home they have recorded one in 2 of 9 games; away, 3 of 10.
Tez Johnson anytime touchdown: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Tez Johnson of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. What follows is the record in Rushing Yards, Rush Attempts, Receiving Yards, Receptions, Targets, Receiving TDs and Anytime Touchdown: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Tez Johnson, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.