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With no line posted, over 18 NFL games since October 2025, Baker Mayfield has gone over a balanced line of 194.5 passing yards 9 times (50%), and over their last 10 they have done it 6 times (60%). They average 185.1 passing yards across those 18 games. Their last 5 average 141.2, 24% below their 185.1 over their last 18 games. These are measured box-score results from Tampa Bay Buccaneers games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Sunday, November 22, 1:00 PM ET, on the road against the Detroit Lions. Last logged game November 8, 14 days before.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 18 | 185.1 passing yards | Over 194.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) |
| Passing TDs | 18 | 1.1 passing touchdowns | Over 0.5 | 14 of 18 (78%) |
| Completions | 18 | 17.6 completions | Over 17.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | 18 | 28.5 pass attempts | Over 28.5 | 8 of 18 (44%) |
| Interceptions | 18 | 0.8 interceptions | Over 0.5 | 11 of 18 (61%) |
| Rushing Yards | 18 | 17.7 rushing yards | Over 14.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) |
| Rush Attempts | 18 | 2.9 carries | Over 3.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 145.5 | 13 of 18 (72%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 194.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Passing Yards | Over 228.5 | 5 of 18 (28%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 0.5 | 14 of 18 (78%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 1.5 | 4 of 18 (22%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Passing TDs | Over 2.5 | 1 of 18 (6%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
| Completions | Over 15.5 | 13 of 18 (72%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Completions | Over 17.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Completions | Over 19.5 | 5 of 18 (28%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 23.5 | 13 of 18 (72%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 28.5 | 8 of 18 (44%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Pass Attempts | Over 32.5 | 6 of 18 (33%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Interceptions | Over 0.5 | 11 of 18 (61%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Interceptions | Over 1.5 | 3 of 18 (17%) | 2 of 10 (20%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 1.5 | 12 of 18 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 14.5 | 9 of 18 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Rushing Yards | Over 29.5 | 5 of 18 (28%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| Rush Attempts | Over 1.5 | 12 of 18 (67%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
Every market measured for Baker Mayfield, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Completions | Pass Attempts | Interceptions | Rushing Yards | Rush Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Chicago Bears | Away | 243 | 0 | 18 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | Atlanta Falcons | Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 4 |
| 2026-10-25 | Carolina Panthers | Away | 64 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Minnesota Vikings | Home | 217 | 1 | 17 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cleveland Browns | Home | 182 | 1 | 21 | 34 | 1 | 29 | 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cincinnati Bengals | Away | 216 | 0 | 23 | 28 | 0 | 30 | 5 |
| 2026-01-04 | Carolina Panthers | Home | 203 | 1 | 16 | 22 | 1 | 31 | 4 |
| 2025-12-28 | Miami Dolphins | Away | 346 | 2 | 33 | 44 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
| Market | Meetings | Average in them | High | Average, all games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 1 | 28.0 | 28 | 17.6 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.8 |
| Pass Attempts | 1 | 50.0 | 50 | 28.5 |
| Passing TDs | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.1 |
| Passing Yards | 1 | 228.0 | 228 | 185.1 |
| Rush Attempts | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 17.7 |
Counted from the same 18 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 145 |
| Median | 194 |
| 75th percentile | 243 |
| Highest logged game | 346 |
10 of 18 games (56%) landed between 145 and 243; 10 (56%) finished at or above the 194 median, and the spread from 0 to 346 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Baker Mayfield actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 3 | 205 |
| December 2025 | 4 | 222.5 |
| November 2025 | 4 | 170.3 |
| October 2025 | 3 | 212 |
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 137.3 | 203 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 138.5 | 277 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 137 | 152 |
Most-faced in this log is Carolina Panthers, 3 games at 137.3, best of 203. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 194 median rather than a posted line, Baker Mayfield's longest run at or above it is 3 games and the run open at the newest of the 18 is 1. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| pass attempts | 28.5 | 11.0 | mixed | 18 |
| completions | 17.6 | 7.5 | mixed | 18 |
| passing yards | 185.1 | 85.4 | mixed | 18 |
| rush attempts | 2.9 | 2.0 | mixed | 18 |
| passing TDs | 1.1 | 0.8 | volatile | 18 |
| rushing yards | 17.7 | 15.9 | volatile | 18 |
Their pass attempts is the steadiest of the 6 markets measured here, averaging 28.5 with a spread of 11.0; their rushing yards swings most, 17.7 with a spread of 15.9. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Baker Mayfield has gone over 194.5 passing yards in 9 of 18 logged games (50%).
At home they average 191.6 over 9 games; away, 178.7 over 9.
Baker Mayfield passing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Baker Mayfield has gone over 0.5 passing touchdowns in 14 of 18 logged games (78%).
At home they average 1.3 over 9 games; away, 0.8 over 9.
Baker Mayfield passing TDs: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Baker Mayfield has gone over 17.5 completions in 9 of 18 logged games (50%).
At home they average 16.7 over 9 games; away, 18.6 over 9.
Baker Mayfield completions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Baker Mayfield has gone over 28.5 pass attempts in 8 of 18 logged games (44%).
At home they average 27.9 over 9 games; away, 29.1 over 9.
Baker Mayfield pass attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Baker Mayfield has gone over 0.5 interceptions in 11 of 18 logged games (61%).
At home they average 0.6 over 9 games; away, 1.0 over 9.
Baker Mayfield interceptions: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Baker Mayfield has gone over 14.5 rushing yards in 9 of 18 logged games (50%).
At home they average 18.2 over 9 games; away, 17.1 over 9.
Baker Mayfield rushing yards: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Baker Mayfield has gone over 3.5 carries in 9 of 18 logged games (50%).
At home they average 3.3 over 9 games; away, 2.6 over 9.
Baker Mayfield rush attempts: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop history for Baker Mayfield of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. What follows is the record in Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Completions, Pass Attempts, Interceptions, Rushing Yards and Rush Attempts: how often they have finished above each line their own game log supports, what their average looks like at home and away, and how much they have moved lately against their own baseline. Every figure is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game they actually played, and rebuilt daily. None of it is a forecast, and none of it is compared with a price. When the live board carries a line for this player, it appears at the top of this page.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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This page keeps the measured history. When the live board carries a line for Baker Mayfield, it appears at the top of this page, and the address does not change, so a bookmark or a link keeps working.
How often they finished above each line their own distribution supports, over all their logged games and over the last ten and five, with the game count printed beside every rate. A percentage without a denominator is not a measurement, so none appears here without one.
No. It is a record of games that have been played, and it is not compared with any price. Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets.
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.