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Over 20 NFL games since October 2025, Zay Flowers has gone over the posted 69.5 receiving yards 9 times (45%), and over their last 10 they have done it 5 times (50%). They average 72.4 receiving yards across those 20 games. Their last 5 average 52.4, 28% below their 72.4 over their last 20 games. These are measured box-score results from Baltimore Ravens games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
Monday, November 16, 8:15 PM ET, at home against the Los Angeles Chargers. Last logged game November 5, 11 days before.
| Line | All 20 | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 receiving yards | 17 of 20 (85%) | 8 of 10 (80%) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Over 53.5 receiving yards | 14 of 20 (70%) | 6 of 10 (60%) | 2 of 5 (40%) |
| Over 66.5 receiving yards | 10 of 20 (50%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 78.5 receiving yards | 7 of 20 (35%) | 5 of 10 (50%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
| Over 124.5 receiving yards | 3 of 20 (15%) | 3 of 10 (30%) | 1 of 5 (20%) |
These are common half-point lines measured against the logged games above, not the lines posted for Zay Flowers right now. The live board at the top of this page carries those, and it updates through the day.
Zay Flowers has averaged 52.4 receiving yards over their last 5, 28% below their 72.4 across all 20 logged games.
Zay Flowers's receiving yards vary moderately, a standard deviation of 43.0 around 72.4. That is an ordinary spread for this market.
| Window | Average |
|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 52.4 receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 78.2 receiving yards |
| All 20 logged games | 72.4 receiving yards |
| Best in the log | 150 |
| Worst in the log | 0 |
| Home (9 games) | 71.3 receiving yards |
| Away (11 games) | 73.3 receiving yards |
Zay Flowers's highest in this log is 150 receiving yards against the Indianapolis Colts on 2026-09-13, and the lowest is 0 against the Buffalo Bills on 2026-11-01. Both are single games, not a range to expect.
| Split | Over 66.5 receiving yards |
|---|---|
| At home | 4 of 9 (44%) |
| On the road | 6 of 11 (55%) |
Zay Flowers has cleared 66.5 receiving yards at much the same rate home and away, 44% against 55%.
A split appears only where both sides have 5 games or more behind them.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Home | 6 |
| 2026-11-01 | Buffalo Bills | Away | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home | 137 |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Browns | Away | 66 |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons | Away | 53 |
| 2026-10-04 | Tennessee Titans | Home | 118 |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | 84 |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts | Away | 150 |
| 2026-01-04 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | 138 |
| 2025-12-27 | Green Bay Packers | Away | 30 |
Every receiving yards prop the books have posted for Zay Flowers of the Baltimore Ravens, with the NFL game log the number is drawn from, game by game and split by where and when they played.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NFL box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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It loads live at the top of this page, with the best price across the major US sportsbooks beside it. It is deliberately not printed into the page itself: a line moves through the day, and a page that hard-coded one would keep telling you a number the book no longer offers.
The hit rate beside the line answers exactly that, measured against the exact line on offer over the games in the log below. The game count it is drawn from is printed next to it, because a rate without a denominator is not a measurement.
That depends entirely on the price, and this page will tell you when the answer is no. A prop only clears the research bar when its hit rate, pulled toward the price for a short record, sits ahead of the break-even the current price implies, with at least ten games behind the rate, a B grade or better and a price a book has refreshed recently. Most props on most nights clear none of that.
All Zay Flowers props and hit rates · Every NFL receiving yards prop
How NFL prop markets behave, measured across the league
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