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Across 506 NBA players with at least 10 logged games in points + rebounds, this page measures 28181 games in total. The median player in that field averages 11.9 combined points and rebounds. The line closest to a coin flip sits at 11.5 for the median of the 506 players whose distribution supports one — half the field is more often over it, half more often under. The deepest sample here is Julian Champagnie, with 105 logged games. Of the 506 players whose spread can be measured, 72 cluster tightly around their average, 260 vary moderately and 174 swing widely. 506 of them have at least three games home and away, so the venue gap below is measured rather than assumed. Every figure is counted from official box scores and describes games already played. It is not a projection, and on its own it says nothing about whether any price on offer is worth taking.
Each player's own most balanced threshold — the half-point line he has finished above in closest to half his logged games — measured from his distribution rather than read off a book. Deepest sample first, not best to worst. The 40 deepest samples of 506 measured; the figures above this table are over all 506.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie | Spurs | 105 | 16.9 combined points and rebounds | Over 16.5 | 50 of 105 (48%) |
| Keldon Johnson | Spurs | 105 | 16.9 combined points and rebounds | Over 16.5 | 54 of 105 (51%) |
| Mikal Bridges | Knicks | 101 | 17.9 combined points and rebounds | Over 17.5 | 51 of 101 (50%) |
| Harrison Barnes | Spurs | 97 | 10.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 10.5 | 48 of 97 (49%) |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 94 | 30.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 30.5 | 49 of 94 (52%) |
| Carter Bryant | Spurs | 93 | 6.2 combined points and rebounds | Over 4.5 | 48 of 93 (52%) |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | 93 | 21.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 21.5 | 46 of 93 (49%) |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 93 | 29.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 30.5 | 49 of 93 (53%) |
| Javonte Green | Pistons | 93 | 9.1 combined points and rebounds | Over 8.5 | 49 of 93 (53%) |
| Cason Wallace | Thunder | 92 | 11.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 10.5 | 45 of 92 (49%) |
| Dylan Harper | Spurs | 92 | 16.3 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 47 of 92 (51%) |
| Julius Randle | Timberwolves | 91 | 27.3 combined points and rebounds | Over 26.5 | 45 of 91 (49%) |
| Luke Kornet | Spurs | 91 | 11.3 combined points and rebounds | Over 11.5 | 47 of 91 (52%) |
| Stephon Castle | Spurs | 91 | 22.3 combined points and rebounds | Over 21.5 | 49 of 91 (54%) |
| Devin Vassell | Spurs | 90 | 18.0 combined points and rebounds | Over 17.5 | 49 of 90 (54%) |
| Duncan Robinson | Pistons | 90 | 14.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 44 of 90 (49%) |
| Jake LaRavia | Lakers | 90 | 11.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 9.5 | 46 of 90 (51%) |
| Jordan Clarkson | Knicks | 90 | 9.7 combined points and rebounds | Over 9.5 | 45 of 90 (50%) |
| Desmond Bane | Magic | 89 | 24.1 combined points and rebounds | Over 23.5 | 47 of 89 (53%) |
| Jamal Shead | Raptors | 89 | 8.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 7.5 | 45 of 89 (51%) |
| Naz Reid | Timberwolves | 89 | 19.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 19.5 | 45 of 89 (51%) |
| Bruce Brown | Nuggets | 88 | 11.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 11.5 | 43 of 88 (49%) |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cavaliers | 88 | 32.1 combined points and rebounds | Over 33.5 | 42 of 88 (48%) |
| James Harden | Cavaliers | 88 | 27.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 25.5 | 45 of 88 (51%) |
| Luke Kennard | Lakers | 88 | 11.2 combined points and rebounds | Over 10.5 | 44 of 88 (50%) |
| Reed Sheppard | Rockets | 88 | 16.2 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 42 of 88 (48%) |
| Rudy Gobert | Timberwolves | 88 | 21.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 21.5 | 46 of 88 (52%) |
| Ausar Thompson | Pistons | 87 | 15.7 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 42 of 87 (48%) |
| Dennis Schröder | Cavaliers | 87 | 12.2 combined points and rebounds | Over 11.5 | 43 of 87 (49%) |
| Jose Alvarado | Knicks | 87 | 9.0 combined points and rebounds | Over 8.5 | 44 of 87 (51%) |
| Ronald Holland II | Pistons | 87 | 11.3 combined points and rebounds | Over 11.5 | 44 of 87 (51%) |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | Raptors | 87 | 15.6 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 46 of 87 (53%) |
| Scottie Barnes | Raptors | 87 | 26.0 combined points and rebounds | Over 25.5 | 42 of 87 (48%) |
| Toumani Camara | Trail Blazers | 87 | 18.2 combined points and rebounds | Over 18.5 | 48 of 87 (55%) |
| Daniss Jenkins | Pistons | 86 | 11.7 combined points and rebounds | Over 9.5 | 42 of 86 (49%) |
| Donte DiVincenzo | Timberwolves | 86 | 16.2 combined points and rebounds | Over 16.5 | 43 of 86 (50%) |
| Oso Ighodaro | Suns | 86 | 11.7 combined points and rebounds | Over 11.5 | 43 of 86 (50%) |
| Payton Pritchard | Celtics | 86 | 20.8 combined points and rebounds | Over 19.5 | 41 of 86 (48%) |
| Quentin Grimes | 76ers | 86 | 16.1 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 44 of 86 (51%) |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | Nuggets | 86 | 15.9 combined points and rebounds | Over 15.5 | 43 of 86 (50%) |
Standard deviation in the market’s own units, and the same figure as a share of the player’s average so it means the same thing in points as in passing yards. A narrow spread means the average is close to what a typical game actually looked like; it says nothing about what the next one will look like.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Standard deviation | Spread as % of average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | Celtics | 22 | 32.4 combined points and rebounds | 5.4 | 17% |
| Ty Jerome | Grizzlies | 15 | 22.5 combined points and rebounds | 4.5 | 20% |
| Jaylen Brown | Celtics | 78 | 35.3 combined points and rebounds | 7.9 | 23% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Thunder | 83 | 34.5 combined points and rebounds | 8.4 | 24% |
| RJ Barrett | Raptors | 64 | 25.3 combined points and rebounds | 5.9 | 24% |
| Nikola Jokić | Nuggets | 71 | 40.4 combined points and rebounds | 9.6 | 24% |
| Kevin Durant | Rockets | 79 | 31.4 combined points and rebounds | 7.4 | 24% |
| Kawhi Leonard | Clippers | 65 | 34.2 combined points and rebounds | 8.1 | 24% |
| Tyler Herro | Heat | 33 | 25.3 combined points and rebounds | 6.3 | 25% |
| Luka Dončić | Lakers | 64 | 41.2 combined points and rebounds | 10.5 | 25% |
The other end of the same measurement. A wide spread means the average describes the middle of a broad range rather than a typical night, which is worth knowing before reading anything into that average.
| Player | Club | Logged games | Average | Standard deviation | Spread as % of average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ingles | Timberwolves | 30 | 2.3 combined points and rebounds | 4.5 | 196% |
| Garrett Temple | Raptors | 24 | 1.1 combined points and rebounds | 1.8 | 166% |
| Max Shulga | Celtics | 13 | 1.2 combined points and rebounds | 2.0 | 166% |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | Clippers | 16 | 1.7 combined points and rebounds | 2.8 | 165% |
| Isaiah Crawford | Rockets | 14 | 3.1 combined points and rebounds | 4.7 | 151% |
| Koby Brea | Suns | 12 | 4.4 combined points and rebounds | 6.5 | 147% |
| Nikola Topić | Thunder | 19 | 4.1 combined points and rebounds | 5.9 | 145% |
| Kevin McCullar Jr. | Knicks | 21 | 3.7 combined points and rebounds | 5.3 | 144% |
| Ron Harper Jr. | Celtics | 35 | 5.3 combined points and rebounds | 7.4 | 139% |
| Xavier Tillman | Hornets | 30 | 2.9 combined points and rebounds | 3.9 | 136% |
Both averages are over the games actually played at each venue, and the game count for each is in the cell beside it. A gap measured over a handful of games either way is one you cannot distinguish from noise — this table prints the denominators so you can tell which is which. Three games a side is the floor for appearing here at all.
| Player | Club | Home (games) | Away (games) | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Edey | Grizzlies | 15.8 (4) | 29.9 (7) | 14.1 away |
| Nate Williams | Warriors | 15.0 (5) | 7.4 (9) | 7.6 at home |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 28.0 (29) | 21.0 (31) | 7.0 at home |
| Domantas Sabonis | Kings | 23.9 (9) | 30.2 (10) | 6.3 away |
| Brandon Ingram | Raptors | 29.3 (40) | 23.5 (42) | 5.8 at home |
| Bez Mbeng | Jazz | 15.0 (7) | 9.3 (8) | 5.7 at home |
| Koby Brea | Suns | 2.6 (8) | 8.0 (4) | 5.4 away |
| Kennedy Chandler | Jazz | 20.8 (6) | 15.4 (5) | 5.4 at home |
| Zach Collins | Bulls | 13.2 (6) | 18.5 (4) | 5.3 away |
| Trae Young | Wizards | 22.4 (8) | 17.1 (7) | 5.3 at home |
Last five logged games against the full log, reported only where the gap is more than a tenth of the player’s own average. It is a description of five games that have been played and it is not a forecast of the sixth.
| Player | Club | Last 5 | Full log | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ingles | Timberwolves | 8.2 combined points and rebounds | 2.3 over 30 | 257% above |
| Rayan Rupert | Grizzlies | 26.0 combined points and rebounds | 8.1 over 64 | 220% above |
| E.J. Liddell | Nets | 24.2 combined points and rebounds | 8.3 over 26 | 191% above |
| Jordan Hawkins | Pelicans | 19.6 combined points and rebounds | 6.8 over 51 | 189% above |
| Lachlan Olbrich | Bulls | 13.8 combined points and rebounds | 5.4 over 37 | 154% above |
| Rob Dillingham | Bulls | 20.8 combined points and rebounds | 8.3 over 65 | 150% above |
| Branden Carlson | Thunder | 20.4 combined points and rebounds | 8.7 over 42 | 134% above |
| Micah Peavy | Pelicans | 14.4 combined points and rebounds | 6.2 over 61 | 132% above |
| Leonard Miller | Bulls | 26.2 combined points and rebounds | 11.8 over 46 | 122% above |
| Jeremiah Fears | Pelicans | 37.6 combined points and rebounds | 17.9 over 82 | 110% above |
The same comparison in the other direction, and the same caveat: five games is five games, and a run below a baseline is as often noise as it is a change.
| Player | Club | Last 5 | Full log | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Wesley | Trail Blazers | 0.2 combined points and rebounds | 5.4 over 35 | 96% below |
| Noah Penda | Magic | 0.4 combined points and rebounds | 6.9 over 60 | 94% below |
| Vít Krejčí | Trail Blazers | 1.0 combined points and rebounds | 10.2 over 69 | 90% below |
| Yang Hansen | Trail Blazers | 0.4 combined points and rebounds | 3.4 over 47 | 88% below |
| Craig Porter Jr. | Cavaliers | 1.0 combined points and rebounds | 7.2 over 71 | 86% below |
| Harrison Barnes | Spurs | 1.8 combined points and rebounds | 10.8 over 97 | 83% below |
| Kevin Huerter | Pistons | 2.2 combined points and rebounds | 12.8 over 74 | 83% below |
| Kris Murray | Trail Blazers | 1.6 combined points and rebounds | 8.8 over 62 | 82% below |
| Caleb Love | Trail Blazers | 2.6 combined points and rebounds | 12.7 over 49 | 80% below |
| Nikola Topić | Thunder | 0.8 combined points and rebounds | 4.1 over 19 | 80% below |
At the half-point threshold each player has finished above in about half their logged games. It is measured per player from their own distribution rather than read off a sportsbook, which is why it is on this page at all: a posted line moves through the day and this page is rebuilt once, so a number taken from a book would be wrong by morning.
No. Nothing here is ordered by how good a bet it is, and no price is quoted anywhere on the page. The tables are ordered by sample depth, by spread and by the size of a measured gap, because those are the things a game log can actually establish.
The count is printed beside every one of them. A player only appears once they have ten or more logged games in the market, and games they did not play are absent rather than counted as zero, so an average describes games they were actually in.
No. A trend here is a comparison between a player’s last five logged games and their full log, and it is reported only when the gap is large enough to be worth naming. It is a description of what has happened, and history is not a forecast.
What these tables are measuring, explained: how to read a hit rate and what its denominator hides, what an over/under line is and what it is not.
NBA player props and live odds
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates, edges and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.