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With no line posted, over 98 NBA games since October 2025, Jaden McDaniels has gone over a balanced line of 15.5 points 50 times (51%), and over their last 10 they have done it 7 times (70%). They average 15.3 points across those 98 games. Their last 5 (17.4) are in line with their 17.0 this season (13 games), so there is no recent move to read into. They have gone over 15.5 in each of their last 4. These are measured box-score results from Minnesota Timberwolves games, not a projection, and on their own they say nothing about whether the posted price is worth taking.
| Market | Logged games | Average | Most balanced line | Hit rate there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 98 | 4.7 rebounds | Over 4.5 | 54 of 98 (55%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 98 | 22.8 combined points, rebounds and assists | Over 23.5 | 52 of 98 (53%) |
| Points | 98 | 15.3 points | Over 15.5 | 50 of 98 (51%) |
| Assists | 98 | 2.8 assists | Over 2.5 | 58 of 98 (59%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | 98 | 1.3 three-pointers | Over 1.5 | 38 of 98 (39%) |
| Market | Line | All logged | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | Over 3.5 | 69 of 98 (70%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Rebounds | Over 4.5 | 54 of 98 (55%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Rebounds | Over 5.5 | 39 of 98 (40%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 19.5 | 71 of 98 (72%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 23.5 | 52 of 98 (53%) | 9 of 10 (90%) |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | Over 26.5 | 29 of 98 (30%) | 5 of 10 (50%) |
| Points | Over 12.5 | 72 of 98 (73%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Points | Over 15.5 | 50 of 98 (51%) | 7 of 10 (70%) |
| Points | Over 18.5 | 27 of 98 (28%) | 4 of 10 (40%) |
| Assists | Over 2.5 | 58 of 98 (59%) | 10 of 10 (100%) |
| Assists | Over 3.5 | 25 of 98 (26%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| Assists | Over 4.5 | 14 of 98 (14%) | 3 of 10 (30%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 0.5 | 68 of 98 (69%) | 8 of 10 (80%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 1.5 | 38 of 98 (39%) | 6 of 10 (60%) |
| 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 18 of 98 (18%) | 0 of 10 (0%) |
Every market Jaden McDaniels is currently priced in, on the same row as the game it came from. A dash means the box score carried no value in that market for that game, which is not the same as a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Rebounds | Points + Rebounds + Assists | Points | Assists | 3-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Chicago Bulls | Home | 5 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 2 |
| 2026-11-12 | Dallas Mavericks | Home | 9 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-11-08 | Utah Jazz | Home | 6 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-11-06 | New Orleans Pelicans | Away | 6 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | Houston Rockets | Away | 8 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | Milwaukee Bucks | Home | 6 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | San Antonio Spurs | Away | 3 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | LA Clippers | Home | 6 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 |
Counted from the same 98 logged games as the tables above. Measured history, not a projection and not a read on tonight's price.
| Percentile | Points |
|---|---|
| Lowest logged game | 0 |
| 25th percentile | 12 |
| Median | 16 |
| 75th percentile | 19 |
| Highest logged game | 32 |
57 of 98 games (58%) landed between 12 and 19; 50 (51%) finished at or above the 16 median, and the spread from 0 to 32 is the whole range of the log. Nearest-rank, so every figure is a score Jaden McDaniels actually recorded.
| Month | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 6 | 16.7 |
| October 2026 | 7 | 17.3 |
| May 2026 | 6 | 14.8 |
| April 2026 | 8 | 17.6 |
| March 2026 | 13 | 13.4 |
| February 2026 | 10 | 16.2 |
| Gap | Logged games | Average |
|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 14 | 16.4 |
| 2 days | 59 | 15.3 |
| 3 to 4 days | 20 | 14.7 |
| 5 or more days | 4 | 14.5 |
The gap is the distance to the previous game in this log, not a rest figure. A box score does not record a game a player sat out inside it.
| Opponent | Logged games | Average | Best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 10 | 18.8 | 32 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 10 | 15.6 | 23 |
| Utah Jazz | 5 | 17.8 | 22 |
| LA Clippers | 5 | 15 | 27 |
| Golden State Warriors | 5 | 13.6 | 19 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 4 | 21 | 29 |
Most-faced in this log is Denver Nuggets, 10 games at 18.8, best of 32. Counts sit beside every average because two meetings is a low bar; opponents faced once are left out.
Against their own 16 median rather than a posted line, Jaden McDaniels's longest run at or above it is 8 games and the run open at the newest of the 98 is 4. Whether the bigger games cluster, not when the next one is.
| Market | Average | Spread | Reads as | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| points + rebounds + assists | 22.8 | 7.7 | steady | 98 |
| points | 15.3 | 6.3 | mixed | 98 |
| rebounds | 4.7 | 2.2 | mixed | 98 |
| assists | 2.8 | 1.5 | mixed | 98 |
| 3-pointers made | 1.3 | 1.2 | volatile | 98 |
Their points + rebounds + assists is the steadiest of the 5 markets measured here, averaging 22.8 with a spread of 7.7; their 3-pointers made swings most, 1.3 with a spread of 1.2. Spread describes how far past games sat from the average. It is not a forecast of the next one.
Jaden McDaniels has gone over 4.5 rebounds in 54 of 98 logged games (55%).
At home they average 4.9 over 49 games; away, 4.5 over 49.
Jaden McDaniels rebounds: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jaden McDaniels has gone over 23.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in 52 of 98 logged games (53%).
At home they average 23.1 over 49 games; away, 22.6 over 49.
Jaden McDaniels points + rebounds + assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jaden McDaniels has gone over 15.5 points in 50 of 98 logged games (51%).
At home they average 15.5 over 49 games; away, 15.2 over 49.
Jaden McDaniels points: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jaden McDaniels has gone over 2.5 assists in 58 of 98 logged games (59%).
At home they average 2.7 over 49 games; away, 2.9 over 49.
Jaden McDaniels assists: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Jaden McDaniels has gone over 1.5 three-pointers in 38 of 98 logged games (39%).
At home they average 1.3 over 49 games; away, 1.3 over 49.
Jaden McDaniels 3-pointers made: full game log, trend and hit rate by line
Prop research for Jaden McDaniels of the Minnesota Timberwolves. The books are currently pricing Rebounds, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Points, Assists and 3-Pointers Made lines for Jaden McDaniels, and each one is scored the same way every prop on this site is: their own game log measured against the exact line on offer, then compared with the price after a short record is pulled toward that price, so a hot fortnight cannot pass for a gap over it. The game log and the splits below are measured history and are rebuilt daily; the lines and prices load live, because an NBA price printed into a page is wrong within the hour. None of it is a forecast of the next game.
Calculated by the ParlayBuilder Prop Engine.
Every figure on this page is counted from official NBA box scores, one row per game actually played. No projections, and a game the player missed is absent rather than scored as a zero. Where a hit rate is compared with the live price, it is first pulled toward that price in proportion to how thin the sample is, so three-for-three does not read here as a certainty.
Past performance does not predict future results, and Parlay Builder does not accept wagers, hold funds or settle bets. This is measured history and a price, and what you do with them is your decision.
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Whatever the books have priced: currently Rebounds, Points + Rebounds + Assists, Points, Assists and 3-Pointers Made. The board on this page loads live rather than from a saved snapshot, so it reflects what is actually on offer now, with the best posted price across the major US sportsbooks against each line.
It depends on the line, which is why this page shows a rate per prop rather than one number. Each is the share of logged games finishing above the exact line on offer, over the deepest window available, and pulled toward the price before it is compared with it, so a short sample cannot masquerade as a trend. The number of games behind every rate is printed beside it.
The home and away splits on this page are measured from the same game log, so you can see the gap rather than assume one. Read them with the sample sizes next to them: a split measured over a handful of games each way is a difference you cannot distinguish from noise, and this page prints the denominator so you can tell.
No one knows, and any NBA tool that says otherwise is selling you something. Every figure here is measured history against a current price, and history is not a forecast. Across roughly 96,000 graded props the model tracked the de-vigged consensus across five books to within the margin those books charge: historical testing showed calibration alone is not enough to overcome sportsbook pricing. What this page does is show you the sample behind every number in seconds.
How NBA prop markets behave, measured across the league
Odds and lines come from licensed data feeds and refresh on a schedule; hit rates and grades are Parlay Builder’s own calculations.